000
AXPZ20 KNHC 252030
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Mon Apr 25 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from the coast of Costa Rica near 09N84W
to 09N101W to 08N117W. The ITCZ extends from 08N118W to beyond 
05N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 10N 
and E of 97W and from 04N to 13N W of 110W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Surface ridging continues to prevail west of the Baja 
California peninsula. The pressure gradient between the high 
pressure NW of the area and lower pressure over Mexico is 
supporting moderate NW to N winds off Baja California Norte. 
Mainly gentle N winds prevail across Baja California Sur. Seas 
range 5 to 7 ft in long- period NW swell across the western 
offshore waters of Baja California. Light to gentle winds and 
seas of 5 to 7 ft in mixed swell are noted across the S Mexico 
offshore waters. Moderate to fresh NW winds prevail across the 
northern Gulf of California and gentle to moderate NW winds 
prevail over the remainder of the Gulf. Seas range between 2 and 3
ft in the Gulf of California. Patches of haze are possible 
offshore S Mexico due to nearby persistent agricultural fires.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate northerly winds will prevail
across the Baja California offshores through Thu, increasing to
fresh by the end of the week. Strong to near- gale N winds are
expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec region Tue night through Thu
morning. The long- period NW swell over the waters W of Baja 
California will mostly subside by this afternoon, with swell 
prevailing NW of Punta Eugenia through Thu.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Light to gentle mainly N winds prevail N of the surface trough,
with gentle to moderate S winds to the S. Seas of 3-5 ft are 
noted across the Central American offshores with 4-6 ft across 
the South American offshores. These seas are within a moderate S 
to SW swell. Patches of haze are possible offshore of Guatemala 
and El Salvador due to nearby persistent agricultural fires. 

For the forecast, long-period moderate S to SW swell will persist
across the region through most of the week. Fresh easterly winds
are possible near the Papagayo region and offshore Nicaragua
from Wed through the end of the week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

The gradient between high pressure centered N of the area and
lower pressure along the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh NE
winds N of the ITCZ and W of 115W.  Long- period NW to N swell 
throughout this area is producing seas of 8-10 ft. Gentle to 
moderate winds along with seas of 5-7 ft seas due to long-period 
S to SW swell are noted elsewhere.

For the forecast, the long-period NW to N swell will gradually 
decay through Tue night, which will allow for seas to subside. 
The southerly swell should sustain 5-7 ft seas across the 
remainder of the basin through the forecast period.

$$
KONARIK