000
AXPZ20 KNHC 142151
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Thu Apr 14 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2150 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 08N78W to 08N110W to 06N130W. The 
ITCZ extends from 06N130W to 04N140W. Scattered moderate 
isolated strong convection is noted from 01N to 09N E of 108W, 
and from 04N to 15N between 110W and 124W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

The pressure gradient between 1026 mb high pressure centered near
30N134W and lower pressure across Mexico is supporting fresh to
locally strong NW winds N of Punta Eugenia in Baja California 
Norte, and moderate to locally fresh winds off Baja California 
Sur. Moderate NW winds are noted in the southern half and 
entrance of the Gulf of California. Light to gentle variable 
winds are elsewhere in the S and SW offshore waters of Mexico. 
Seas are in the 5 to 8 ft range offshore of the Baja California 
peninsula, 4 to 5 ft in the S and SW Mexican offshore waters, and
1 to 3 ft over the central and southern Gulf of California.
Otherwise, patchy areas of haze are possible near the coast of 
SW Mexico due to nearby agricultural fires.

For the forecast, fresh to strong NW winds N of Punta Eugenia and 
northerly swell west of the Baja California peninsula will
diminish by Fri evening. Fresh to strong NW winds of Baja
California Norte will resume on Sat night and continue through
early next week. Moderate NW winds in the Gulf of California 
will diminsh tonight and return on Sun, increasing to fresh 
speeds Sun evening.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate to locally fresh winds are noted over the Papagayo 
region offshore Nicaragua. Gentle to moderate winds are between 
Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Light to gentle winds prevail 
elsewhere. Seas are in the 4 to 6 ft range, reaching 7 ft over 
the waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands in decaying
S to SW swell. 

For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will support 
pulses of fresh winds into the Papagayo region offshore Nicaragua
through early Sun. Moderate winds in the Gulf of Panama will 
gradually diminish to gentle by the end of the week, then will 
increase to moderate this weekend. Gentle to moderate S winds 
will prevail between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Mainly 
light to gentle winds are expected elsewhere. Moderate S to SW 
swell offshore of Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands will subside 
through the end of the week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

High pressure prevails north of the area. The pressure gradient 
between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the 
vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting mainly moderate to fresh 
anticyclonic flow north of the ITCZ and west of 115W, locally
strong near 15N130W. Seas within this area are in the 6 to 9 ft 
range. Winds are gentle to moderate, and seas are 5 to 6 ft 
elsewhere.

For the forecast, conditions are expected to gradually improve, 
with the majority of 8 ft seas expected to subside by tonight, 
and fresh winds diminishing by Fri. Fairly tranquil marine 
conditions will then prevail through the weekend.

$$
Ramos