091 
AXPZ20 KNHC 140830
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Thu Apr 14 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 08N78W to 06N84W to 08N109W to
06N130W. The ITCZ extends from 06N130W to 05N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N between 80W and
103W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted 
from 03N to 13N between 105W and 118W, and from 07N to 13N
between 120W and 128W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

The pressure gradient between high pressure north of the area 
and lower pressure over the western U.S. is supporting moderate
to fresh NW winds off Baja California Norte, with moderate winds
off Baja California Sur. Moderate to locally fresh winds are 
noted near Cabo Corrientes, with moderate to fresh winds in the 
Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere offshore
the open waters off Mexico. Seas are in the 8 to 9 ft range 
offshore of the Baja California peninsula. Seas of 5 to 6 ft are 
elsewhere offshore Mexico, and 1 to 3 ft over the northern Gulf 
of California, and 3 to 5 ft in the central and southern Gulf of
California. Patchy to areas of haze are possible near the coast 
of southwestern Mexico due to nearby agricultural fires.

For the forecast, northerly swell west of the Baja California 
peninsula will gradually subside through the remainder of the 
week. Moderate winds will prevail off Cabo Corrientes into early 
Fri, then pulse to fresh to strong Sat night. A tight pressure 
gradient will develop offshore of Baja California Norte Sat. 
Winds over this area will strengthen, and seas will build to 8 
ft, through the remainder of the upcoming weekend and into early 
next week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate to locally fresh winds are noted over the Papagayo 
region offshore Nicaragua. Gentle to moderate winds are between 
Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Light to gentle winds prevail 
elsewhere. Seas are in the 4 to 6 ft range, reaching 7 ft over 
the waters between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands in decaying
S to SW swell. 

For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will support 
pulses of fresh winds into the Papagayo region offshore Nicaragua
through early Sun. Moderate winds in the Gulf of Panama will 
gradually diminish to gentle by the end of the week, then will 
increase to moderate this weekend. Gentle to moderate S winds 
will prevail between Ecuador and the Galapagos Islands. Mainly 
light to gentle winds are expected elsewhere. Moderate S to SW 
swell offshore of Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands will subside 
through the end of the week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

High pressure prevails north of the area. The pressure gradient 
between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the 
vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting mainly moderate to fresh 
anticyclonic flow north of the ITCZ and west of 115W, locally
strong near 15N130W. Seas within this area are in the 6 to 9 ft 
range. Winds are gentle to moderate, and seas are 5 to 6 ft 
elsewhere.

For the forecast, conditions are expected to gradually improve, 
with the majority of 8 ft seas expected to subside by tonight, 
and fresh winds diminishing by Fri. Fairly tranquil marine 
conditions will then prevail through the weekend.

$$
AL