335 
AXPZ20 KNHC 211613
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Mon Mar 21 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1520 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 10N75W to 03.5N90W to 04.5N104W. 
The ITCZ continues from 04.5N104W to 05N113W to 04.5N118W to 
beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 01S to 06.5N E of 91W. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 0.5S to 03N between 95W and 108W. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is noted from 05.5N to 10N W of
104W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Fresh to strong N to NW winds continue across the Baja offshore
waters this morning, to the N of the remnants of a dissipated 
cold front extending across the entrance to the Gulf of 
California and westward along 21N across the offshore waters of 
Baja California Sur. Seas along the Baja offshore waters N of
Punta Eugenia are in the 9-12 ft range in NW swell, and 8-10 ft
southward to 21N. Moderate to fresh NW to W winds prevail across
most of the Gulf of California, except fresh northerly winds
immediately behind the frontal remnants near the coast E of Cabo
San Lucas. Seas across the Gulf are 3-5 ft except to 6 ft across
the entrance near Baja Sur. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
continuein a narrow plume across the Gulf of Tehuantepec where 
seas are 6-7 ft. Gentle to locally moderate NW winds are 
elsewhere along the SW Mexican offshore waters where wave heights
of 4-6 ft prevail.

Winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will gradually diminish to 
moderate speeds later this morning. The front will dissipate 
today and winds offshore of Baja will diminish to moderate 
speeds tonight. Moderate to fresh NW winds in the Gulf of 
California will prevail through Wed and increase to fresh to 
strong speeds Wed night through Thu. Gale force winds are likely 
to develop in the Tehuantepec region early on Thu. Winds are 
forecast to reach gale-force Thu afternoon and continue through 
late Sat.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to strong gap winds are blowing across the Papagayo region
with seas of 6-8 ft. These winds cover most of the Nicaragua
offshore waters. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are in the Gulf
of Panama with 3-5 ft seas. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere 
along with wave heights of 3-5 ft due to SW swell.

Fresh to strong NE to E winds are expected across the Papagayo 
region through Tue. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds will then 
continue across the Nicaragua offshore waters through Fri. 
Moderate to fresh N winds are expected in the Gulf of Panama 
through Mon night. Cross equatorial SW swell will continue to 
affect the offshore forecast waters through mid week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

A 1032 mb high pressure system centered near 35N131W dominates 
the waters N of the ITCZ and W of about 115W. This weather 
pattern will continue to support fresh to locally strong NE to E 
winds and high seas in mixed swell across much of the forecast 
waters W of 110W through late Wed. Seas of 8 to 10 ft are 
expected in this region.

$$
Stripling