000
AXPZ20 KNHC 211005
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Mar 21 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from 06N78W to 04N91W to 04N104W. The 
ITCZ continues from 04N104W to 04N121W to beyond 06N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is from 02S to 07N E of 100W, from
03N to 10N between 102W and 120W, and from 02N to 16N W of 125W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Fresh to strong NW winds continue to follow a weakening cold 
front moving across Baja California Sur offshore waters. Seas
along the Baja offshore waters are in the 8-11 ft range in NW 
swell. Moderate to fresh NW winds are along the Gulf of 
California with seas to 5 ft. Fresh to strong N to NE winds with
seas to 6 ft are in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Gentle to locally 
moderate NW winds are elsewhere along the SW Mexican offshore 
waters where wave heights of 4-5 ft prevail.

Winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will gradually diminish to 
moderate speeds this morning. The front will dissipate today and
winds will diminish to moderate speeds tonight. Moderate to fresh  
NW winds in the Gulf of California will prevail through Wed and
increase to fresh to strong speeds Wed night through Thu. Gale 
force winds are likely to develop with the next gap wind event in
the Tehuantepec region forecast to begin early on Thu. Winds are
forecast to reach gale-force Thu afternoon and continue through 
late Sat.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to strong gap winds are blowing across the Papagayo region
with seas of 6-8 ft. These winds cover most of the Nicaragua
offshore waters. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are in the Gulf
of Panama with 3-5 ft seas. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere 
along with wave heights of 3-5 ft due to SW swell.

Fresh to strong NE to E winds are expected across the Papagayo 
region through Tue. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds will then 
continue across the Nicaragua offshore waters through Fri. 
Moderate to fresh N winds are expected in the Gulf of Panama 
through Mon night. Cross equatorial SW swell will continue to 
affect the offshore forecast waters through mid week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

A 1033 mb high pressure system centered near 35N131W dominates 
the waters N of the ITCZ and W of about 115W. This high pressure
center is to the NW of a dissipating cold front that is moving across
the southern tip of Baja California Sur. This weather pattern 
will continue to support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds 
and building seas across much of the forecast waters W of 110W
through late Wed. Seas of 8 to 10 ft are expected in this region. 

$$
Ramos