000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080740
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Tue Mar 8 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0730 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from Colombia near 08N77W to 06N89W to 
05N109W. The ITCZ stretches from 05N109W to 07N125W to beyond 
07N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 08N 
between 101W and 104W and from 06N to 11N W of 126W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

A relatively narrow surface ridge extends from strong high
pressure across the NE Pacific through 30N131W to near 18N107W. 
The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressure 
across the Sierra Madre Occidentales of Mexico is producing 
moderate to fresh mainly NW winds within 150 nm offshore of Baja
California N of Cabo San Lazaro, and moderate N winds elsewhere 
southward to 18N. Seas are 6 to 9 ft in NW swell across the 
offshore waters N of Cabo San Lazaro, and 5 to 7 ft elsewhere. 
Moderate side shore winds are occurring near the coast along Cabo
Corrientes and Puerto Angel. Otherwise to the S of 18N, winds 
are light to gentle and seas are 4 to 6 ft.

Inside the Gulf of California, fresh to locally strong northerly
winds prevail south of the Tiburon Basin, where seas are 4 to 6 
ft.

For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NW winds in the Gulf of
California will prevail into tonight. Elsewhere, gentle to 
moderate winds will prevail through mid-week. Looking ahead, a
cold front will move down the Gulf of California Thu, and bring
strong winds to the Gulf Thu night through Sat. Then, Sat, 
strong gales will develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec, and 
continue through the weekend.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, 
and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate to locally fresh NE winds are noted across the Papagayo
region, with moderate winds in the Gulf of Panama. Elsewhere, 
winds are light to gentle with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

NE winds across the Papagayo region will pulse to
fresh again tonight, then gradually diminish through the end of 
the week. Moderate north winds in the Gulf of Panama will also pulse
tonight, then become light to gentle the remainder of the week. 
Mainly gentle winds will prevail elsewhere.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

N of the ITCZ to 21N, widespread mainly fresh NE to E winds 
prevail due to the pressure gradient between the ITCZ and the 
high pressure to the north. Seas are 8 to 10 ft in mixed swell. 
Across NW portions, fresh SE winds N of 26N and W of 138W are 
associated with the pressure gradient between a trough west of 
the area and high pressure. To the S of the ITCZ, gentle to 
moderate E to SE winds prevail with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

Winds will subside across waters N of 25N as the ridge remains in
place while slowly weakening. However, the pressure gradient S 
of 25N and W of 122W will support fresh trades and seas of 8 to 
10 ft most of the week. The trough W of the area will weaken, 
allowing winds to relax to fresh and seas to fall under 8 ft
today.

$$ 
KONARIK