000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050300
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Mar 5 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A surface trough extends from the Colombia-Panama border near
06N77W to 05N92W to 04N109W. The ITCZ then continues to 06N125W
to beyond 06N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong 
convection is noted from 01N to 06N between 83W-97W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Strong N winds are occurring in the Gulf of Tehunatepec, with
seas of 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to strong SW winds prevail in the
northern Gulf of California, in the wake of a now dissipated cold
front. Wave heights in the far northern part of the Gulf are in 
the 4-6 ft range. Fresh to strong winds also prevail offshore
Baja California Norte, with seas of 10 to 13 ft in NW swell. 
Elsewhere across the waters, mainly gentle winds prevail along 
with wave heights of 4 to 6 ft. 

For the forecast, fresh to strong north winds in the Gulf of 
Tehunatepec will continue through early Sat, then become light 
and variable in the afternoon. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds 
will change little through Mon, with the exception of moderate 
northwest to north winds remaining offshore Cabo Corrientes. 
Fresh to strong northwest to north winds will continue through 
the weekend behind a dissipating cold front. Northwest swell is 
accompanying the front, with wave heights of 10 to 13 ft west of 
Baja California Norte. Wave heights of 8 to 10 ft will build 
southward, off Baja California Sur on Sat. Fresh to strong 
southwest winds are expected in the northern Gulf of California 
ahead of the front through tonight, the behind the front Sat 
night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Fresh to strong northeast to east winds are across the Papagayo 
region, with wave heights to 7 ft. Moderate to fresh north winds
are in the Gulf of Panama, with wave heights of 4-6 ft. Mainly 
light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere, along with wave 
heights of 3-5 ft due to a south to southwest swell, with the 
exception of wave heights of up to 6 ft offshore of Ecuador.

For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast winds in the Gulf of
Papagayo region will continue into Sat, then diminish to fresh 
speeds Sat through early Mon, then to gentle to moderate speeds 
through Wed night. The moderate north winds in the Gulf of Panama
will pulse to moderate to fresh speeds tonight into early Sat. 
Gentle winds will continue elsewhere. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

A dissipating cold front extends across the southern Gulf of
California and Baja California Sur. Fresh to locally strong winds
are present in the wake of this front for much of the area N of
20N, with seas of 8 to 12 ft. A warm front W of the are is
leading to fresh to strong E winds to the W of 137W and N of 22N.
Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh trades prevail with seas of 5
to 7 ft. 

For the forecast, the cold front will dissipate overnight, with
winds subsiding to moderate to fresh over the weekend, and seas
also falling. A tight gradient over the western part of the area
between strong high pressure over the area west of 130W, and low
pressure west of 140W is leading to fresh to strong east to 
southeast winds north of 24N and west of 138W, with wave heights 
of 8-10 ft. By early Sun, these conditions are expected to be 
north of 26N and west of 138W. Wave heights to 9 ft in east to 
southeast swell mixing with northeast swell are expected north of
12N and west of 131W by this same time.

$$
KONARIK