000 AXPZ20 KNHC 030730 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Thu Mar 3 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0720 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from the border of Panama and Colombia near 07.5N78W to 08N87W to 02N106W. The ITCZ extends from 02N108W to 08N134W to 06N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 07N between 85W and 95W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO Fresh to strong northerly winds are blowing in the immediate Gulf of Tehuantepec with seas likely 6 to 8 ft. High pressure ridging continues to extend across the rest of the area with gentle winds. Seas range 5 to 7 ft in NW swell over the Baja California offshores and SW Mexico, except building up to 8 ft offshore of Baja California Norte in reinforcing NW swell. The Gulf of California maintains 3 ft seas or less with the highest near the entrance. Showers continue to stream across Baja California and the Gulf of California. For the forecast, strong to near gale force northerly winds will continue through tonight in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Winds will become fresh to strong N from Fri through Fri night and diminish to gentle by Sat afternoon. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds will prevail through this morning. A new set of NW swell will continue to move across the waters west of Baja California, up to 8 ft from Punta Eugenia northward through today. Fresh to strong NW-N winds will develop west of Baja California by Fri night and persist through the weekend behind the dying cold front. NW swell will come with this cold front, with seas building to 10 to 15 ft west of Baja California by late Fri. Seas of 8 to 10 ft will build southward, off Baja California Sur on Sat. Fresh to strong SW winds are expected in the northern Gulf of California ahead of the front Thu night through Fri night. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR Fresh to strong NE winds are across the Gulf of Papagayo. Seas are reaching 7 ft in this region. Moderate N winds are in the Gulf of Panama with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Mainly light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere, along with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except up to 6 ft offshore of Ecuador. For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will continue to pulse each night across the Papagayo region through early Sat, then moderate to fresh thereafter. Winds in the Gulf of Panama will pulse moderate to fresh, mainly at night through Fri night. Gentle winds will prevail elsewhere. Seas will build slightly offshore of Ecuador to the Galapagos Islands through the end of the week due to a SW swell. REMAINDER OF THE AREA A cold front extends from 30N129W to 25N140W with fresh to strong N to NE winds behind the front. A set of NW swell associated with this frontal system has propagated well southeast of the parent front with seas of 6 to 10 ft north of 14N and west of 119W, with 6 to 7 ft elsewhere. Broad high pressure is located east of the front to near the Revillagigedo Islands. Gentle to moderate winds dominate the open waters ahead of the front. For the forecast, The cold front will extend from 30N124W to 23N140W later this morning, and from 30N116W to 22N124W by Fri morning. Fresh to strong N-NE winds are forecast to continue behind the front, along with continuing NW swell. By Fri, low pressure west of the area may extend a warm front near 140W with fresh to strong easterly winds north of it in the northwest corner of our area, along with building seas in W swell. Farther east, fresh to strong NW to N winds and building seas are likely north of 28N between 120W and 128W Thu night and Fri behind the aforementioned cold front. $$ Lewitsky