000 AXPZ20 KNHC 240329 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Thu Feb 24 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0230 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A trough extends from a 1008 mb low pres located over northern Colombia near 10N74W to 06.5N78W to 05N86W. The ITCZ extends from 05N86W to 04N108W to 07N125W to beyond 07N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted within about 90 nm N of the ITCZ W of 130W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO A cold front continues moving SE across the northern Gulf of California and Baja California this evening, extending from NW Mexico across the Gulf of California's Tiburon Basin then across central portions of the Baja Peninsula and exits into the Pacific near Punta Prieta where it becomes ill defined. Fresh to strong W winds are noted both N and S of the front between 27.5N and 30N across the Gulf, while strong NW winds to near 30 kt are spilling into far N portions of the Gulf to the N of 31N. Seas across this area are assumed to have built to 4-7 ft in recent hours. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds prevail across the remainder of the Gulf of California. Across the Pacific offshore waters of Baja Norte, fresh to strong NW winds are building behind the front and producing seas of 8 to 11 ft in NW swell. Moderate to fresh NW winds are across the Baja California offshore waters S of the front where seas are 5-7 ft. Further S, moderate N winds prevail offshore to Bucerias, except fresh to strong across the waters surrounding Cabo Corrientes. Seas of 4-7 ft prevail there. Strong W to NW winds are expected across the northern Gulf of California on either side of the cold front through tonight, with seas building to 6-8 ft. The fresh to strong winds off Baja California Norte will spread south affecting the entire Baja California offshore waters overnight. These winds will dominate mainly the waters S of Punta Eugenia by Thu morning. Seas associated with this front will spread southward across the area between Cabo San Lazaro and Punta Eugenia tonight and Thu while subsiding. Looking ahead, the next Tehuantepec gap wind event should begin Fri night, with strong N winds. Winds are forecast to increase to minimal gale force Sun night through Mon night. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR Weakening high pressure over the eastern Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea continues to combine with troughing over the E equatorial Pacific waters to produce a modest area of fresh to strong NE gap winds over the Papagayo region extending offshore to near 88W, while fresh N winds are over the Gulf of Panama N of 07N. Seas are 5-7 ft in the Papagayo region, and 4-5 ft south of the Gulf of Panama. Seas of 3-5 ft are occurring elsewhere. Pulsing fresh to strong NE winds are expected across the Papagayo region each night through Sun night as high pressure remains N of the area. Moderate N winds will continue to pulse to fresh across the Gulf of Panama at night through the weekend. Light to gentle winds will remain elsewhere. REMAINDER OF THE AREA High pressure of 1030 mb is located near 35N134W has a ridge extending SE beyond the Revillagigedo Islands. This ridge is combining with lower pressure along the ITCZ to produce fresh NE to E trades mainly from 07N-15N west of 128W, and from 12N-18N between 115W-128W. Seas are 8-10 ft within the fresh trade wind zone. An area of fresh to strong trades will persist over the west- central waters over the next couple of days as a high pressure center persists just N of the forecast waters. Northerly swell will continue to affect the NE waters through late Thu. The next significant NW swell event will reach the western part of the forecast region over the weekend, keeping 8-11 ft seas across most of the area north of 05N and west 120W through at least Sun night. $$ Stripling