000
AXPZ20 KNHC 220322
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Feb 22 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0240 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... 

A trough extends from 10N74W to 05.5N80W to 05N91W. The ITCZ 
extends from 05N91W to 07N117W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N-08.5N 
between 125W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Low pressure over the U.S. Great Basin along with high pressure 
well northwest of our waters is promoting fresh to locally strong
SW to W winds over the central and N Gulf of California, but 
only moderate N winds elsewhere. Moderate to fresh NW to N winds
prevail across the Baja California offshore waters tonight. Seas
are 4-7 ft in the Pacific waters, 3-5 ft in the N and central 
Gulf of California, and 2-3 ft in the S Gulf.

Fresh to near gale SW to W winds are expected to continue across
portions of central and N Gulf of California through Wed 
morning. By Wed afternoon, a cold front should reach the N Gulf 
of California and force fresh to strong NW winds across the 
entire Gulf on Thu through Sat with seas to reach up to 8 ft. 
Large swell generated by strong winds off California are forecast
to reach the waters north of Punta Eugenia tonight into Tue,
raising seas across the Baja Norte waters to 8-10 ft. Beginning 
Wed, fresh to strong NW winds and building seas are expected 
offshore Baja California Norte and continue progressing southward
to offshore of Baja California Sur by Thu. Winds and seas should
diminish on Fri west of the entire Baja California peninsula. 
Looking ahead, the next Tehuantepec N gap wind event should begin
Fri night and may reach near gale on Sat.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

High pressure over the Caribbean Sea along with troughing over 
the E equatorial Pacific waters continues to produce fresh to 
strong NE gap winds over the Papagayo region and fresh to strong 
N winds over the Gulf of Panama N of 05.5N this evening. Seas 
are 5-8 ft in the Papagayo region, 4-7 ft in the Gulf of Panama,
and 3-5 ft elsewhere.

Fresh to strong NE gap winds are expected across the Papagayo 
region through Wed morning, then diminishing to moderate to fresh
through Fri. Fresh to strong N winds will pulse in the Gulf of 
Panama tonight and Tue night, before diminishing to moderate to 
fresh through at least Sat night. Large seas generated across 
the Papagayo area are forecast to continue to propagate into the
outer offshore waters of Guatemala and El Salvador through Tue. 
Light to gentle winds will remain elsewhere. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

A ridge of high pressure extends from 30N130W southeastward to 
14N104W. This along with lower pressure along the ITCZ is 
producing moderate to fresh NE to E trades mainly from 08N-16N 
west of 117W. Seas peak at 8-10 ft within the moderate to fresh 
trades zone and 5-7 ft elsewhere. 

Winds will change little through Wed. Thu through Sat, building 
high pressure north of the area will boost the NE trades up to 
strong. Beginning tonight, N large swell will reach our 30N 
border and will gradually move southward and combine with the NE 
wind waves from 10N-20N west of 120W by Thu and Fri. Seas should 
peak around 8-10 ft Fri and Sat.

$$
Stripling