000 AXPZ20 KNHC 060327 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sun Feb 6 2022 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0350 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: Strong high pressure anchored by a 1032 mb high centered over southern Texas extends across the Gulf of Mexico. A tight pressure gradient between the high pressure and the equatorial trough in the eastern Pacific is supporting strong gale-force winds with seas to 20 ft. Winds are expected to drop below gale-force by early Sun afternoon. However, fresh to strong winds will continue across the Tehuantepec region through Mon evening when the next gale-force gap wind event is forecast to begin. These winds will rapidly reach speeds of 45 kt with seas to 13 ft building to 18 ft on Tue. Winds for this second gap wind event are forecast to drop below gale-force by Wed afternoon. Mariners are urged to stay tuned to future forecasts that will highlight details regarding this ongoing event. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for further details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 03N78W to 06N89W to 04N97W. The ITCZ continues from 04N97W to 07N108W to 09N120W. There is no significant convection associated with either the trough/ITCZ. However, there are two surface troughs west of the ITCZ that are generating scattered moderated convection from 11N to 18N between 111W and 125W, and from 09N to 17N between 127W and 137W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO Please see the Special Features section above for information on an ongoing Gulf of Tehuantepec storm-force gap wind event. Fresh to strong NW winds continue across the Gulf of California with seas to 6 ft. Moderate winds are noted south of Punta Eugenia, otherwise light to gentle winds prevail across the rest of the Mexico offshores. Seas range 4-6 ft. In addition, showers are streaming across the offshores of Jalisco and Nayarit. For the forecast, the storm-force winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will diminish this evening. Gale-force winds are expected to persist through Sun afternoon. Meanwhile, the fresh to strong winds across the Gulf of California will end by this evening. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail across the region tonight into Sun. Moderate to fresh winds can be expected for the Gulf of California and off the coast of Jalisco Mon into Tue. The next gale force gap winds for the Tehuantepec region is forecast to begin Mon night and continue through Wed morning. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR Fresh to strong NE gap winds are in the Papagayo region with seas 4-6 ft. Moderate N winds are noted in the Gulf of Panama with seas to 4 ft. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere. Seas of 2-4 ft in S to SW swell are noted outside of the Gulfs of Papagayo and Panama. Showers are moving south of a trough extending across the area, from 02N to 05N between 79W and 84W. For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds in the Papagayo region are expected to reach near gale-force speeds tonight. Strong winds will persist across the area through Mon morning, and pulse at night Mon night through Thu. Winds will pulse fresh to locally strong tonight in the Gulf of Panama, then pulse to fresh speeds at night through Thu. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds will prevail across the Central American and equatorial waters through Wed. Swell generated from an ongoing storm-force gap wind event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will produce large seas over the Guatemala and El Salvador offshore waters this weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA Ridging from a 1037 mb high north of the area extends across the northern portions of the forecast waters. The pressure gradient between the high pressure with the lower pressure along the ITCZ is giving way to fresh to strong winds N of the ITCZ to 26N and W of 123W. Seas are 8-10 ft within N to NE swell. Gentle to moderate winds and seas of 5-6 ft are present elsewhere over the area. For the forecast, the area of high pressure will remain north of the area the next several days. This will maintain an area of fresh to strong NE trades over the waters from 10N to 25N and west of 120W. The winds will start to diminish slowly by Tue through midweek. Seas will subside below 8 ft by Wed. $$ Ramos