000
AXPZ20 KNHC 020834
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Wed Feb 2 2022

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N77W to 05N81W to 05N97W. The 
ITCZ extends from 05N97W to 08N123W. It resumes from 08N120W to
07N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted 
from 07N to 15N between 122W and 127W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO

Fresh to strong NW winds are over the waters west of Baja 
California Norte with seas in the 8-12 ft range. Elsewhere, 
gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail over the 
open waters off Mexico. Moderate to fresh winds are over the 
northern Gulf of California, with gentle to moderate winds over 
the remainder of the Gulf. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range over the
Gulf of California.

For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure 
west of California combined with low pressure over the SW United 
States and Mexico will support fresh to strong NW winds and 
building seas over the waters west of the Baja California 
peninsula through Thu morning. This setup will also produce 
fresh to strong NW winds over the Gulf of California this morning
through Thu night. The next gale- force gap wind event in the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec is expected from Fri to Sun. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR

Moderate NE gap winds prevail across the Papagayo region. 
Moderate to fresh N winds are occurring over the Gulf of Panama.
Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas of 3-5 ft are 
noted across the discussion waters.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE winds in the Papagayo 
region will prevail the remainder of the week, with strong NE 
winds expected to resume Sat night. Moderate to fresh N winds in 
the Gulf of Panama will diminish by Thu. Elsewhere, light to 
gentle winds will prevail across the Central American and 
equatorial waters. Swell generated from a gale-force gap wind 
event in the Gulf of Tehuantepec will produce large seas over the
Guatemala and El Salvador offshore waters this weekend. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA

High pressure of 1038 mb is centered near 42N136W. A surface 
trough is located west of the area from 27N144W to 16N144W. 
Another surface trough is along the Gulf of California. The 
pressure gradient between these features is supporting fresh to 
strong winds and seas of 8-12 ft over the waters north of 22N. 
Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of 20N. Elsewhere, 
gentle to moderate winds and seas of 5-7 ft prevail.

For the forecast, the high will sink southward during the next 
couple of days. This will cause the fresh to strong NE trades to
shift southward to cover the waters from 10N to 20N and west of
120W. The winds will start to diminish the end of the week 
through the weekend. Seas of 8-11 ft will remain between 10N and
25N west of 120W through the end of the week.

$$
AL