000 AXPZ20 KNHC 102050 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Wed Nov 10 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2040 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Satellite-derived wind data indicate that the surface circulation of Terry has opened up into a trough of low pressure. The remnants Of Terry is centered near 11.7N 118.3W at 10/2100 UTC moving W at 14 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 25 kt with gusts to 35 kt. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP3.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP3.shtml for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 06N100W to 12N117W to 10N122W to 14N128W to 12N131W. The ITCZ continues from 12N131W to 09N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 07N east of 85W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 10N to 14N between 125W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO Moderate to fresh winds, and seas to 8 ft, prevail over the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Elsewhere, a surface ridge extends W of the Baja California peninsula. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a trough over the Gulf of California is supporting fresh to strong winds off Baja California Norte and moderate to fresh winds off Baja California Sur. Moderate to fresh winds are also found over the Gulf of California. Light to gentle winds prevail over the remainder of the open waters off Mexico. Seas of 7-10 ft prevail west of the Baja California peninsula, and 4-6 ft elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico. Seas are in the 1-3 ft range in the Gulf of California. Fresh to strong winds offshore of Baja California will gradually spread S to the offshore of Cabo San Lazaro through this evening. Fresh N winds inside the Gulf of California will prevail through Thu afternoon. Strong gap winds will return to the Gulf of Tehuantepec region Fri through Mon. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR Moderate to fresh gap winds prevail across the Papagayo region, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere N of the monsoon trough. Gentle to moderate SW to S winds prevail S of the monsoon trough. Seas of 5-6 ft prevail in SW swell across the offshore waters, except to 7 ft downwind of the Gulf of Papagayo. Gentle to moderate S to SW winds will persist south of the monsoon through the forecast period. Moderate to fresh gap winds will return to the Papagayo region over the weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see special features section above for more on the remnants of Terry, which has opened into a trough. The pressure gradient between 1028 mb high pressure near 32N130W and lower pressure within the monsoon trough and in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds N of the ITCZ and monsoon trough to near 21N and W of 117W, with gentle to moderate winds N of 25N. Gentle to moderate winds prevail south of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Seas are in the 7-10 ft range in mixed NW and NE swell over the waters north of 10N and west 110W, except higher N of the remnants of Sandra, where seas are 11-12 ft. Seas in the 6-8 ft range prevail elsewhere. The high pressure ridge will remain across the northern waters, maintaining a zone of fresh trade winds S of 20N throughout most of the week. The remnants of Sandra will move westward through the trade wind zone to maintain a broad zone of strong trades and seas to 10-11 ft. The expected remnants of Terry will also produce a smaller but similar area as it moves westward. $$ AL