305 AXPZ20 KNHC 132035 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Wed Oct 13 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2150 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Pamela is inland centered near 26.0N 103.7W at 13/2100 UTC moving NE at 24 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Additional rapid weakening is forecast as the center moves farther inland. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory and Forecast/Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 97W, from 04N into Oaxaca, Mexico, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. A 1011 mb low pressure center is near 09N99W, further to the west of the wave axis. Scattered moderate convection is noted in between these two features with the strongest convection from 07N to 11N between 95W to 98W. A new tropical wave has entered the basin, along 80W, from 04N across Panama into the western Caribbean. The wave is moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the monsoon trough, from 06N to near the coast of Costa Rica and Panama. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from Costa Rica near 10N85W to 11N104W. It resumes from 15N113W to 10N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted 300 nm south of the monsoon trough between the coast of Panama and Costa Rica, from 10N to 13N between 101W to 107W. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 14N between 114W and 131W and from 08N to 11 N between 137W to beyond 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the Special Features section above for details on newly-upgraded Hurricane Pamela. Fresh mainly N winds are ongoing offshore Baja California with seas of 9 to 12 ft. Gentle NW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are ongoing offshore southern Mexico and will prevail through Fri. Tropical Storm Pamela near 24.4N 106.0W 992 mb at 8 AM PDT moving NE at 20 kt. Maximum sustained winds 55 kt gusts 80 kt. Pamela will move inland and weaken to a tropical depression near 26.6N 102.7W this evening, and dissipate inland Thu morning. Elsewhere, fresh NW to N winds and rough seas in mixed swell will continue offshore Baja California into Wed. Seas offshore Baja California and west- central Mexico will gradually subside Thu. Looking ahead, strong N winds are expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec starting Sat. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light winds are occurring N of the monsoon trough with moderate mainly SW winds ongoing to the S. Seas are 5 to 7 ft due to a moderate southwest swell. For the forecast, light to gentle mainly N winds will prevail N of the monsoon trough into early next week, with moderate SW winds to the S of the monsoon trough. A moderate southwest swell propagating through the regional waters will subside slightly later this week. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Fresh NE winds prevail over areas N of the monsoon trough and ITCZ, and W of 125W. Seas are 8 to 11 ft, with some slightly higher seas around 30N125W. Conditions in this area will gradually improve through Thu. Mainly moderate winds and seas in the 5 to 8 ft range prevail elsewhere. $$ Torres