000 AXPZ20 KNHC 141607 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Sat Aug 14 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1520 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Major Hurricane Linda is centered west of Clarion Island near 18.8N 116.1W at 1500 UTC moving WNW at 11 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 950 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 115 kt with gusts to 140 kt. Linda now has a very well defined eye of 15 nm in diameter, and improved convection completely surrounding the eye wall. Numerous moderate to strong convection is evident within 75 nm SE and 50 nm NW of the center, while scattered moderate to strong convection is seen elsewhere within 150 nm SE and 120 nm NW. Linda will remain a major hurricane through Sunday morning as it continues to move westward. Linda will gradually weaken thereafter, but will stay a hurricane into mid week as it reaches 133W. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP2.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP2.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 85W, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 85W and 92W. A tropical wave is along 99W, moving W at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 08N to 16N between 96W and 106W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... Segments of the monsoon trough axis extends from 11N76W to 09.5N85W to 13N92W to 09N101W to 09N115W, and from 14N121W to 14N130W to 10N139W. In addition to the convection described above in the Special Features and Tropical Wave sections, scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N east of 85W. Scattered moderate convection is evident within 120 nm of trough between 118W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please read the Special Features section for details on Hurricane Linda. Tropical storm conditions associated with the eastern periphery of Linda continue to impact the outer portions of the offshore waters W-SW of Cabo San Lucas this morning. South of southeast winds 20 to 45 kt with seas 10 to 25 ft extend almost 120 nm inside the outer boundary of marine zone 015, where a hurricane warning remains in effect through this afternoon. Outside of the hurricane conditions created by Linda, mostly gentle to moderate winds are noted elsewhere over Mexican offshore waters north of 20N, with seas of 5 to 9 ft in southerly swell are over open waters. Farther south, fresh gap winds are likely ongoing across the Gulf of Tehuantepec, between tropical waves moving through Central America and southern Mexico. Gentle winds persist elsewhere off southern Mexico with 5 to 7 ft seas primarily in SW swell. Linda will continue moving westward today, and exit the offshore waters off of Baja California Sur by around sunset. Associated south to southwest swell from Linda will affect the Baja offshore waters through Mon before fading quickly. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. Elsewhere, fresh gap winds across the Gulf of Tehuantepec will pulse to locally strong tonight. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate E winds are noted in the Papagayo region, with light to gentle winds elsewhere north of the monsoon trough. Moderate to locally fresh S-SW winds are south of the monsoon trough. Seas are in the 4 to 6 ft range in long period mixed swell. Mainly gentle winds will prevail north of the monsoon trough through early next week. South of the monsoon trough, mainly moderate, occasionally fresh, S to SW winds will prevail through the middle of next week, supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms across the region. New southerly swell will impact the waters offshore of Ecuador early next week. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please read the Special Features section for details on Hurricane Linda. The 1013 mb remnant low of Kevin is centered near 28.5N128.5W. Overnight scatterometer satellite data indicated winds have continued to diminish since yesterday with mainly moderate to fresh winds within 180 nm of the center. An earlier altimeter satellite pass showed mainly 6 ft seas in the southeast of the low, but seas to 7 ft are likely lingering in the northeast quadrant. Elsewhere, weak surface ridging prevails across the remainder of the open waters. Gentle to moderate trades are noted north of the monsoon trough outside of the influence of Linda and remnants of Kevin, with moderate to fresh southerly flow south of the monsoon trough. Seas of 5 to 7 ft in mixed long period swell are noted outside of Linda and the remnant low of Kevin. Linda is forecast to remain a hurricane through the weekend as it continues generally westward. Strong E to SE swell generated from Linda will affect the waters north of 13N and west of 120W for the next few days. Elsewhere, southerly swell from the southern hemisphere will cross the Equator Sun night through mid week, resulting in seas of 7 to 8 ft south of 10N between 100W and 125W. $$ Stripling