000
AXPZ20 KNHC 130959
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Aug 13 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Hurricane Linda is centered near 16.4N 110.6W at 13/0900 UTC
moving WNW at 11 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 987
mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 80 kt with gusts to 90 kt.
Numerous strong convection is noted with 90 nm of the center.
Scattered moderate convection is noted elsewhere within 150 nm of
the center. Linda is forecast to remain a 
hurricane through the weekend as it moves close to the
Revillagigedo Islands, weakening to a tropical storm early next 
week. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP2.shtml and Forecast/ 
Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP2.shtml for 
more details.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A tropical wave is over central Panama along 79W/80W, moving W 
at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong 
convection is noted north of 05N east of 83W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough axis extends from the Caribbean coast of
Colombia near 09N76W, westward across Panama, then entering the
Pacific along the coast of Costa Rica near 09N84W, to 1010 mb 
low pressure near 08N95W, to 08N104W. Another segment of the 
monsoon trough extends from 14N115W to 10N135W. The ITCZ 
continues from 10N135W to beyond 08N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted within 90 nm of the monsoon trough axis 
between 115W and 125W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please read the Special Features section for details on Hurricane 
Linda.

A recent scatterometer satellite showed tropical storm force
winds on the periphery of Linda about 90 nm to the southeast of
Socorro Island and beyond 210 nm off Cabo Corrientes. The same 
scatterometer pass indicated fresh to strong westerly gap winds 
into the northern Gulf of California overnight. Another 
scatterometer pass confirmed fresh to strong gap winds into the 
Gulf of Tehuantepec as well. Convergent low level flow related to
this plume is supporting scattered thunderstorms in the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec as well. 

For the forecast, the main impacts of Hurricane Linda will be in
the Revillagigedo Islands and adjacent waters through early Sat.
The center of Linda will move to 17.1N 112.3W this afternoon, 
then move toward Clarion Island tonight, before reaching 18.0N 
114.7W Sat morning. Linda will continue to move west of the 
Revillagigedo Islands Sat afternoon. The remnant low of Kevin 
will continue to move WNW away from the offshore waters of Baja 
California, dissipating this weekend. Fresh to strong gap winds 
into the northern Gulf of California will diminish later this 
morning. Farther south, fresh to strong gap winds will continue 
to pulse through Sat night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Moderate E winds are noted in the Papagayo region, with light to
gentle winds elsewhere north of the monsoon trough. Moderate to 
locally fresh S-SW winds are south of the monsoon trough. Seas 
are in the 4 to 7 ft range in long period mixed swell.

For the forecast, mainly gentle winds will prevail north of the 
monsoon trough through early next week. South of the monsoon 
trough, mainly moderate, occasionally fresh, S to SW winds will 
prevail through early next week, supporting scattered showers and
a few thunderstorms across the region. A set of southerly swell 
may impact the waters offshore of Ecuador early next week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Please read the Special Features section for details on Hurricane 
Linda.

The 1007 mb remnant low of Kevin is centered near 24N123W. A
recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated winds have
diminished since yesterday with mainly moderate to fresh winds
within 180 nm of the center. Peak seas are estimated to be 9 to 10
ft.

Elsewhere, weak surface ridging prevails across the remainder of
the open waters. Gentle to moderate trades are noted north of 
the monsoon trough outside of the influence of Linda and remnants
of Kevin, with moderate to fresh southerly flow south of the 
monsoon trough. Seas of 4 to 7 ft in mixed long period swell are 
noted outside of Linda and Kevin.

For the forecast, the remnant low of Kevin will continue to move
WNW away from the offshore waters of Baja California, dissipating
this weekend. Linda is forecast to remain a hurricane through 
the weekend. Elsewhere, southerly swell from the southern 
hemisphere will cross the Equator Sun night through Tue, 
resulting in seas of 7 to 8 ft south of 10N between 100W and 
125W.

$$
Christensen