000 AXPZ20 KNHC 120819 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Thu Aug 12 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Storm Linda is centered near 14.1N 107.1W at 12/0900 UTC moving WNW at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 993 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Peak seas near Linda are 22 ft. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is within 90 nm of the center in the NE and SW quadrants, 150 nm SE quadrant and 60 nm NW quadrant. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is elsewhere within 210 nm S semicircle and 120 nm NE quadrant. A west- northwest motion is expected to continue through the weekend. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Linda is expected to become a hurricane later today. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP2.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP2.shtml for more details. Tropical Depression Kevin is centered near 22.3N 119.3W at 12/0900 UTC moving WNW at 10 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. There is no convection within 120 nm of the center. Scattered showers are well removed in the SW quadrant from 17N to 23N between 121W and 127W. Kevin is expected to weaken to a remnant low later today. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP1.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP1.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 91W north of 02N, moving W at 10 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 16N between 87W and 99W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from 09N79W to 08N87W to 11N100W, then resumes from 13N115W to 11N130W to 08N140W. Other than the convection associated with Kevin, Linda and the tropical wave, scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 09N between 77W and 84W, and from 10N to 13N between 116W and 127W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Conditions across the Mexico offshore waters are being dominated by Tropical Storm Linda and Tropical Depression Kevin. Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on these storms. Seas west of Baja California will subside this evening as Kevin moves away. Seas will increase off Baja California Sur Fri night into Sat as Linda passes well offshore. In the Gulf of California, gentle winds speeds will prevail through Fri morning, with moderate SE to S winds pulsing late Fri through Sat. Gentle to moderate NW winds are forecast Sun through Mon offshore most of Mexico. The latest ASCAT pass shows moderate to fresh N winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec. These winds should become gentle to moderate later today. Fresh to strong N winds will pulse again briefly Saturday evening. Tropical Storm Linda will strengthen to a hurricane later today near 15N108W, then peak in intensity on Sat near 18.5N 117W, then weaken to a tropical storm Mon near 19N125W. Tropical Depression Kevin will weaken to a remnant low later today near 23N121W, then will reach near 26N126W on Fri while continuing to weaken. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh E winds will pulse offshore Papagayo late today and tonight. Otherwise, gentle winds will prevail north of the monsoon trough through Mon. South of the monsoon trough, moderate to fresh S to SW winds will prevail through Mon, except for Fri when gentle to moderate winds will prevail. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on Tropical Storm Linda and Tropical Depression Kevin. Weak surface ridging prevails over the NW forecast waters, resulting in gentle to moderate NE winds north of the monsoon trough and west of 126W. South of the monsoon trough, moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds prevail. For the forecast, Tropical Storm Linda will strengthen to a hurricane later today near 15N108W, then peak in intensity on Sat near 18.5N 117W, then weaken to a tropical storm Mon near 19N125W. Tropical Depression Kevin will weaken to a remnant low later today near 23N121W, then will reach near 26N126W on Fri while continuing to weaken. Elsewhere, SW swell from the southern hemisphere will cross the Equator Sun night into Mon, resulting in seas of 7-9 ft south of 10N between 100W-125W. $$ Hagen