000 AXPZ20 KNHC 102049 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Tue Aug 10 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2000 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Storm Linda is centered near 14.4N 102.8W at 10/2100 UTC moving WNW at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are currently 11 ft. Numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is noted within 480 nm in the southwest semicircle of Linda. Linda will strengthen to a hurricane Thu afternoon. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP2.shtml and Forecast/Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP2.shtml for more details. Tropical Storm Kevin is centered near 19.1N 115.5W at 10/2100 UTC moving NW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas are currently 18 ft. Numerous to scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted within 420 nm in the southwest semicircle of Kevin. Kevin will weaken to a tropical depression Thu morning, and become a remnant low Fri afternoon. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP1.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP1.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is along 80W from 01N northward, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N between 77W and 89W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough axis extends from northern Colombia near 10N74W to 07N86W to 13N98W, then resumes southwest of Kevin from 12N118W to 09N140W. Other than the convection associated with Kevin, Linda and the tropical wave, scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 12N between 90W and 93W, and also from 21N to 25N between 106W and 116W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on Tropical Storm Linda and Tropical Storm Kevin. Otherwise, a broad ridge of high pressure is north of the tropical storms to across Baja California Norte. Gentle to moderate winds are noted offshore of Baja California north of Cabo San Lazaro, along with seas of 4 to 7 ft. Moderate to fresh SE-S winds are noted in the Gulf of California. Seas are 3 ft or less in the central and northern Gulf of California, and 3 to 6 ft and building in the southern Gulf of California due to outer swells associated with Kevin. Gentle to moderate winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft are noted elsewhere across the Mexico Offshore Waters outside of the tropical storms. For the forecast, mainly gentle to moderate winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft will prevail outside of the influences of Kevin and Linda, occasionally pulsing to fresh at northerly in the Tehuantepec region. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh winds are noted in the Papagayo region. Light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere north of the monsoon trough. Moderate S-SW winds prevail south of the monsoon trough. Seas are mainly 3 to 6 ft, except 5 to 7 ft in a moderate southerly swell offshore of Ecuador. For the forecast, fresh winds will continue in the Papagayo region through Wed night. Moderate SW winds will continue S of the monsoon trough for the next several days. Enhanced thunderstorm activity is expected near the monsoon trough, off Colombia, Panama and Costa Rica for the next few days as a tropical wave moves across the region. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on Tropical Storm Linda and Tropical Storm Kevin. Otherwise, a broad and weak ridge of high pressure prevails across the waters north of the monsoon trough with gentle to moderate trades under the ridge. Moderate to locally fresh S-SW winds are noted south of the monsoon trough. Seas are 4 to 7 ft in mixed long period southerly and northerly swell. For the forecast, outside of the influences of Kevin and Linda fairly tranquil marine conditions will persist through the next several days. $$ Lewitsky