000
AXPZ20 KNHC 070230
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed Jul 7 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 94W/95W north of 01N, moving
west around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted 
from 06N to 15N between 92W and 98W.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 14N108W to 10N126W. 
The ITCZ continues from 10N126W to 09N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted from 06N to 15N between 92W and 98W. 
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06N 
to 12N between 98W and 115W, and from 06N to 12N between 127W and
140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient continues to support gentle to moderate
NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula, with locally
fresh winds off Baja California Norte. Seas are in the 4 to 6 ft
range in mixed long period swell. Light to gentle southerly 
winds are noted over the Gulf of California with seas of 1-3 ft. 
Light to gentle winds with seas in the 4 to 5 ft range prevail 
elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail over the
offshore waters off Baja California, with light to gentle winds 
dominating the remainder of the offshore waters through the 
middle of the week. Winds will diminish slightly west of Baja 
California Thu. NW swell will build seas off Baja California 
Norte briefly tonight and Thursday before subsiding once again 
through the end of the week. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL 
AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light winds are noted north of the monsoon trough with gentle to
locally moderate winds south of the monsoon trough. Seas are in 
the 5-7 ft range, reaching 8 ft south of the Galapagos Islands. 

For the forecast, gentle to moderate southerly flow will prevail
south of 10N through midweek, with light to gentle breezes north
of 10N. Gap winds will freshen over the Gulf of Papagayo Wed. 
SW swell will prevail over the waters between Ecuador and the
Galapagos islands through the remainder of the week and the
weekend.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the northern waters. The pressure
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ and within the monsoon trough is 
supporting gentle to moderate winds north of the ITCZ and monsoon
trough, with seas of 5-6 ft. Gentle to moderate southerly flow 
is noted south of the monsoon trough, with moderate SE flow south
of the ITCZ. Southerly swell has crossed the equator, 
maintaining seas to near 8 ft over the far southern waters west 
of 130W. Little change in wind and seas are forecast through 
the end of the week.

$$
AL