000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060240
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Tue Jul 6 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0240 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 89W/90W north of 02N, moving
west around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted 
from 05N to 13N between 87W and 92W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 102W/103W north of 02N, 
moving west at around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection 
is noted from 05N to 11N between 99W and 106W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 10N86W to 12N102W to 10N116W. 
The ITCZ continues from 10N116W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate 
convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 87W and 92W, and 
from 05N to 11N between 99W and 106W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 131W and 140W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient continues to support gentle to moderate
NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula. Seas are in 
the 4 to 6 ft range in mixed long period swell. Gentle to 
moderate southerly winds are noted over the Gulf of California 
with seas of 1-3 ft. Light to gentle winds with seas in the 4 to
5 ft range prevail elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico.

For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail over the
offshore waters off Baja California, with light to gentle winds 
dominating the remainder of the offshore waters through the 
middle of the week. Winds will diminish slightly west of Baja 
California from the middle to the end of the week. NW swell will 
build seas off Baja California Norte briefly the middle of the 
week before subsiding once again through the end of the week.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL 
AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light winds are noted north of the monsoon trough with gentle to
locally moderate winds south of the monsoon trough. Seas are in 
the 5-7 ft range. 

For the forecast, gentle to moderate southerly flow will prevail
south of 10N through midweek, with light to gentle breezes north
of 10N. Gap winds will freshen over the Gulf of Papagayo 
midweek. Moderate SW swell will build slightly in the Ecuadorian 
waters through the middle of the week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure prevails over the northern waters. The pressure
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh winds
north of the ITCZ to 15N and west of 130W. Gentle to locally 
moderate trade winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail elsewhere 
north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Gentle to moderate 
southerly flow is noted south of the monsoon trough, with 
moderate SE flow south of the ITCZ. Southerly swell has crossed 
the equator, maintaining seas to near 8 ft over the far southern 
waters west of 130W. Little change in wind and seas are forecast
through midweek.

$$
AL