000 AXPZ20 KNHC 051536 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Mon Jul 5 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1500 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is near 89W north of 01N, moving west around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted north of 11N between 88W and 95W. The axis of a tropical wave is near 103W north of 03N into southwest Mexico, moving west at around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to 11N between 101W and 105W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N85W to 13N107W to 09N119W. The ITCZ continues from 09N119W to 08N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 12N between 133W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A weak pressure gradient supports gentle to moderate NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula. Seas are in the 5 to 6 ft range in mixed long period swell. Gentle to moderate southerly winds are noted over the Gulf of California with seas of 2-3 ft. Light to gentle winds with seas in the 4 to 6 ft range prevail elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico. For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail over the offshore waters off Baja California, with light to gentle winds dominating the remainder of the offshore waters through much of this week. NW swell will build seas off Baja California Norte by the middle of the week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light winds are noted north of the monsoon trough with gentle to locally moderate winds south of the monsoon trough. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range. For the forecast, gentle to moderate southerly flow will prevail south of 10N through midweek, with light to gentle breezes north of 10N. Gap winds will freshen over the Gulf of Papagayo midweek. Moderate SW swell will persist across the region, building slightly in the Ecuadorian waters by midweek. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure prevails over the northern waters. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh winds north of the ITCZ to 15N and west of 130W. Gentle to locally moderate trade winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail elsewhere north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Gentle to moderate southerly flow is noted south of the monsoon trough, with moderate SE flow south of the ITCZ. Southerly swell has crossed the equator, maintaining seas to near 8 ft over the far southern waters west of 130W. Little change in wind and seas are forecast through midweek. $$ ERA