000 AXPZ20 KNHC 050240 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Jul 5 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0240 UTC. ...TROPICAL WAVES... The axis of a tropical wave is near 86W north of 02N, moving west around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted north of 04N between 83W and 90W. The axis of a tropical wave is near 100W north of 02N into southwest Mexico, moving west at around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 11N between 98W and 102W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N84W to 09N89W to 12N106W to 10N118W. The ITCZ continues from 10N118W to 08N127W to 09N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted north of 04N between 83W and 90W, from 08N to 11N between 98W and 102W, and from 05N to 10N between 125W and 135W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A weak pressure gradient supports gentle to moderate NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula. Seas are in the 5 to 6 ft range in mixed long period swell. Gentle to moderate southerly winds are noted over the Gulf of California with seas of 2-3 ft. Light to gentle winds with seas in the 4 to 6 ft range prevail elsewhere over the open waters off Mexico. For the forecast, gentle to moderate winds will prevail over the offshore waters off Baja California, with light to gentle winds dominating the remainder of the offshore waters through early week. NW swell will build seas off Baja California Norte by midweek. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light winds are noted north of the monsoon trough with gentle to locally moderate winds south of the monsoon trough. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range. For the forecast, gentle to moderate southerly flow will prevail south of 10N through early week, with light to gentle breezes farther north. Moderate SW swell will persist across the region, building in Ecuadorian waters by midweek. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure prevails over the northern waters. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh winds north of the ITCZ to 15N and west of 130W. Gentle to locally moderate trade winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail elsewhere north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Gentle to moderate southerly flow is noted south of the monsoon trough, with moderate SE flow south of the ITCZ. Southerly swell has crossed the equator, maintaining seas to near 8 ft over the far southern waters west of 120W. Little change in wind and seas are forecast through midweek. $$ AL