000
AXPZ20 KNHC 040742
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Sun Jul 4 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0840 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...

The axis of a tropical wave is near 84W north of 02N, moving 
west around 10 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection 
is noted north of 03N between 83W and 88W.

The axis of a tropical wave is near 99W north of 02N into 
southwest Mexico, moving west at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 04N to 07N between 96W and 
100W. 

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 11N86W to 12N107W to 09N121W. 
The ITCZ continues from 09N121W to 09N140W. Scattered moderate 
isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 13N between 83W 
and 88W. Scattered moderate convection is from 04N to 07N between
96W and 130W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak pressure gradient supports mainly gentle to locally
moderate NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula. Seas 
are in the 4 to 5 ft range in mixed long period swell. Gentle to
moderate southerly winds are noted over the Gulf of California 
with seas of 2-3 ft. Mainly gentle to moderate winds with seas 
in the 4 to 6 ft range are elsewhere over the open waters off 
Mexico.

For the forecast, gentle to locally moderate winds will prevail 
over the offshore waters off Baja California, with light to 
gentle winds dominating the remainder of the offshore waters 
through early next week. NW swell will build seas off Baja 
California Norte by the middle of next week.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL 
AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds are noted north of the monsoon trough with
gentle to locally moderate winds south of the monsoon trough. 
Seas are in the 4-6 ft range. 

For the forecast, gentle to moderate southerly flow will prevail
south of 10N through early next week, with light to gentle 
breezes farther north. Moderate SW swell will persist across the 
region, building in Ecuadorian waters by mid week. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weak pressure gradient over the area is maintaining gentle 
to locally moderate trade winds north of the monsoon trough and 
ITCZ. Gentle to moderate southerly flow is noted south of the 
monsoon trough, with moderate SE flow south of the ITCZ. 
Southerly swell has crossed the equator, maintaining seas to near
8 ft over the far southern waters west of 120W. Little change 
in wind and seas are forecast through early next week.

$$
AL