000 AXPZ20 KNHC 301441 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Wed Jun 30 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1400 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Depression Enrique is centered near 24.6N 110.0W at 30/1500 UTC moving NW at 6 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of the center. Enrique will move inland this evening, become post- tropical Thu morning, and dissipate Thu evening. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is near 84W from 04N northward to across portions of Nicaragua and Costa Rica, moving W at around 10 kt. Numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N between 77W and 85W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 03N to 06N between 85W and 91W, and from 09N to 11N between 85W and 89W. A tropical wave is near 98W from 03N northward to southern Mexico, moving W at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 10N to 12N between 98W and 100W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 13N to 16N between 94W and 100W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 10N75W to 10N100W, then resumes from 17N100W to 09N130W. The ITCZ continues from 09N130W to 07N140W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 11N between 99W and 112W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Depression Enrique. A weak pressure gradient supports mainly light to gentle NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula with locally moderate winds along the coast. Seas are in the 3 to 6 ft range in mixed long period swell. Moderate to fresh SE winds are in the central and northern Gulf of California with seas to 5 ft. The entrance of the Gulf is being affected by Enrique, which is generating seas to 9 ft. Mainly light to gentle variable winds with seas in the 4 to 6 ft are elsewhere from Chiapas to Jalisco offshore waters. For the forecast, southerly flow in the Gulf of California will diminish Thu as Enrique dissipates. Light to gentle variable wind will dominate the remainder offshore waters through the end of the weekend. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds are over the Papagayo region with seas to 6 ft. Light to gentle variable winds are elsewhere north of the monsoon trough with seas 4 to 6 ft in mixed long period swell. Moderate S-SW winds with seas of 4 to 7 ft dominate the waters south of the monsoon trough. For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh winds will continue in the Papagayo region through Fri with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere north of the monsoon trough. Mainly moderate southerly flow will prevail south of the monsoon trough. A moderate southerly swell will arrive west of Ecuador by the end of the week, subsiding later during the upcoming weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Depression Enrique located in the southern Gulf of California. A surface trough is analyzed from 22N121W to 17N127W. Otherwise, a broad surface ridge covers the waters north of the convergence zone. Moderate to fresh N-NE flow prevails north of 20N and west of 130W, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere north of the convergence zone. Moderate to fresh southerly flow prevails south of the convergence zone. Seas are mainly in the 5 to 7 ft range in mixed long period swell. For the forecast, the pressure gradient will weaken as Enrique weakens while shifting W-NW allowing for winds to diminish slightly Thu. The surface trough north of the convergence zone will linger through the end of the week. Little change in winds is then forecast for the remainder of the week into the weekend. A moderate southerly swell will reach the equator by the end of the week into the weekend, building seas to around 8 ft there. $$ Lewitsky