000 AXPZ20 KNHC 300843 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Wed Jun 30 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0800 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Storm Enrique is centered near 24.2N 109.6W at 30/0900 UTC moving NW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection is from 23N to 24N between 108W and 110W. On the forecast track, Enrique will move over the southern Baja California Peninsula tonight. Enrique is forecast to weaken into a tropical depression later today and dissipate on Thursday. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is near 83W from 02N northward, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection is N of 01N E of 80W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 12N between 80W and 90W. A tropical wave is near 96W from 02N northward to southern Mexico, moving W at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 12N between 90W and 100W. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection is N of 13N between 92W and 99W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 12N87W to 15N106W to 12N120W to 10N132W. The ITCZ extends from 10N132W to 08N140W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 03N to 10N between 100W and 111W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Storm Enrique. A weak pressure gradient supports mainly light to gentle NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula with locally moderate winds along the coast as indicated by latest scatterometer data. Seas remain in the 3 to 6 ft range in mixed long period swell. Moderate SE winds are along the central and northern Gulf of California with seas to 3 ft. The entrance of the gulf is being affected by Enrique, which is generating seas to 10 ft. Light to gentle variable winds with seas to 5 ft are elsewhere from Chiapas to Jalisco offshore waters. For the forecast, moderate southerly flow in the Gulf of California will diminish Thu. Light to gentle variable wind will dominate the remainder offshore waters through the end of the weekend. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds are over the Papagayo region with seas to 6 ft. Light to gentle variable wind are elsewhere N of the monsoon trough with seas in the 3-5 ft in mixed long period swell. Gentle to moderate S-SW winds with seas to 5 ft dominate the waters south of the monsoon trough. For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh winds will continue in the Papagayo region through Fri. Mainly moderate southerly flow will prevail south of the monsoon trough. A moderate southerly swell will arrive west of Ecuador by the end of the week, subsiding later during the upcoming weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Storm Enrique located offshore of Mexico. Otherwise, a broad surface ridge covers the waters west of 122W with moderate to locally fresh N-NE winds north of 15N and west of 125W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere north of the convergence zone. An area of fresh to strong winds is noted from roughly 10N to 13N between 106W and 114W. Otherwise, mainly moderate to locally fresh southerly flow prevails south of the convergence zone. Seas are mainly in the 5 to 7 ft range in mixed long period swell, except to 8 ft near the area of fresh to strong winds. For the forecast, the pressure gradient will weaken as Enrique also weakens allowing for winds to diminish slightly Wed. Little change in winds is then forecast for the remainder of the week into the weekend. A moderate southerly swell will reach the equator by the end of the week into the weekend, building seas to around 8 ft there. $$ Ramos