000 AXPZ20 KNHC 292102 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Tue Jun 29 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 200 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Tropical Storm Enrique is centered near 23.2N 108.3W at 29/2100 UTC moving NW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. No significant convection is noted with Enrique. Enrique will weaken to a tropical depression Wed morning, and dissipate Fri morning. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...TROPICAL WAVES... A tropical wave is near 85W from 05N northward across eastern Honduras, central Nicaragua and western Costa Rica, moving W at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 07N to 12N between 85W and 89W. A tropical wave is near 100W from 05N northward to southern Mexico, moving W at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06N between 96W and 101W. Isolated to widely scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 04N to 17N between 100W and 108W. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from well south-southwest of Tropical Storm Enrique near 15N108W to 10N123W to 07N134W. The ITCZ continues from 07N134W to 07N140W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 89W and 97W, and within 270 nm south-southwest of the monsoon trough between 108W and 120W. Similar convection is noted from 04N northward between the coast of western Colombia and 81W, including the Gulf of Panama. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Storm Enrique. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient supports mainly light to gentle NW-N winds west of the Baja California peninsula with seas in the 4 to 7 ft range in mixed long period swells. For the forecast, mainly light to gentle winds will prevail, except moderate NW-N west of Baja California Norte, and moderate to locally fresh southerly flow in the Gulf of California through Thu. Seas will subside slightly through the end of the week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light to gentle winds prevail north of 07N/08N, with moderate to locally fresh S-SW flow south of 07N/08N. Seas are in the 3 to 6 ft range in mixed long period swell. For the forecast, light to moderate winds will prevail north of the monsoon trough, except moderate to locally fresh offshore in the Papagayo region during the late night and early morning hours through early Fri. Mainly moderate southerly flow will prevail south of the monsoon trough. A moderate southerly swell will arrive west of Ecuador by the end of the week, subsiding later during the upcoming weekend. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Storm Enrique located offshore of Mexico. Otherwise, a broad surface ridge covers the waters west of 125W with moderate to locally fresh N-NE winds north of 15N and west of 120W. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere north of the convergence zone. An area of fresh to strong winds is noted from roughly 09N to 14N between 106W and 117W. Otherwise, mainly moderate to locally fresh southerly flow prevails south of the convergence zone. Seas are mainly in the 5 to 7 ft range in mixed long period swell, except to 8 ft near the area of fresh to strong winds. For the forecast, the pressure gradient will weaken as Enrique also weakens allowing for winds to diminish slightly Wed. Little change in winds is then forecast for the remainder of the week into the weekend. A moderate southerly swell will breach the equator by the end of the week into the weekend, building seas to around 8 ft there. $$ Lewitsky