000 AXPZ20 KNHC 290937 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1005 UTC Tue Jun 29 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0850 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Tropical Storm Enrique is centered near 21.6N 107.6W at 29/0900 UTC moving NW at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 22N to 25N between 106W and 109W. Scattered moderate convection is from 18N to 21N between 105W and 109W. Seas peak at 16 ft near the center with 12 ft seas extending out as far as 75 NM SE from the center. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula tonight or Wednesday. Gradual weakening is forecast over the next couple of days. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 09N91W to 05N96W to 06N106W. It resumes southwest of Enrique near 14N111W to 09N124W to 07N134W. ITCZ continues from 07N134W to 07N140W. Numerous moderate isolated strong convection is from 04N to 08N between 92W and 97W. Scattered moderate convection is N of 03N E of 85W, N of 10N between 86W and 96W, from 04N to 09N between 100W and 108W, and from 10N to 14N between 102W and 118W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Storm Enrique. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient supports mainly light to gentle NW winds west of the Baja California peninsula with seas in the 3 to 5 ft range, except in the vicinity of Enrique near Cabo San Lucas where seas are in the 7 to 8 ft range. Fresh to locally strong SE winds are along the Gulf of California with seas to 5 ft. Fresh to strong winds are forecast to diminish to gentle to moderate Wed evening. Enrique will move to 22.5N 108.3W this afternoon, 23.5N 109.4W Wed morning, weaken to a tropical depression near 24.5N 110.5W Wed afternoon, inland to 25.2N 111.7W Thu morning, become a remnant low and move to 25.5N 112.5W Thu afternoon, and dissipate Fri morning. Light to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft are elsewhere. These conditions are forecast to prevail through the weekend. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... A weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle variable winds north of 05N and gentle to moderate S flow over the Ecuador and Galapagos Islands offshore waters through Sat night. Seas will be generally 5-7 ft except 3-5 ft in the Gulf of Panama. Otherwise, moderate winds will pulse in the Gulf of Papagayo the next few days. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A surface ridge covers the NW forecast waters and supports moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds N of 17N W of 120W with seas to 7 ft. South of Enrique, moderate to fresh W to SW winds are occurring from 06N to 14N between 106W and 122W. Elsewhere seas are 5-7 ft. As Enrique weakens while it moves northwestward and the pressure gradient over the open waters also weakens, winds and seas should diminish across the remainder of the waters today and remain that way through at least Fri night. $$ Ramos