000 AXPZ20 KNHC 290405 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Tue Jun 29 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0330 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Tropical Storm Enrique is centered near 21.1N 107.4W at 29/0300 UTC moving NW at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 19N to 21N between 106W and 109W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 21N to 24N E of 108W. Seas peak at 23 ft near the center with 12 ft seas extending out as far as 90 NM SE from the center. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula Tuesday night or Wednesday. Additional weakening is forecast over the next couple of days. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 09N91W to 05N96W to 06N106W. It resumes southwest of Enrique near 14N111W to 09N124W to 07N134W. ITCZ continues from 07N134W to 07N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from 03N to 09N between 90W and 106W, and from 10N to 16N between 100W and 117W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Storm Enrique. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient supports mainly light to gentle NW winds west of the Baja California peninsula with seas in the 3 to 5 ft range, except in the vicinity of Enrique near Cabo San Lucas where seas are in the 7 to 8 ft range. Fresh to locally strong SE winds are along the Gulf of California with seas to 3 ft. Fresh to strong winds will prevail across the gulf through Wed with seas building to 5 ft in the northern gulf. Winds are forecast to diminish to gentle to moderate Wed evening. Tropical Storm Enrique near 21.1N 107.4W 992 mb at 8 PM PDT moving NW at 5 kt. Maximum sustained winds 50 kt gusts 60 kt. Enrique will move to 21.7N 108.0W Tue morning, 22.6N 108.9W Tue evening, weaken to a tropical depression near 23.6N 109.9W Wed morning, inland to 24.5N 111.0W Wed evening, inland to 25.0N 112.0W Thu morning, and dissipate Thu evening. Light to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft are elsewhere. These conditions are forecast to prevail through the weekend. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... A weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle variable winds north of 04N and gentle to moderate S flow over the Ecuador and Galapagos Islands offshore waters through Sat night. No significant long-period swell from the Southern Hemisphere is anticipated over the next several days. Seas will be generally 5-7 ft except 3-5 ft in the Gulf of Panama. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A surface ridge covers the NW forecast waters and supports moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds N of 16N W of 120W with seas to 7 ft. South of Enrique, moderate to fresh W to SW winds are occurring from 07N to 13N between 106W and 122W. Elsewhere seas are 5-7 ft. As Enrique weakens while it moves northwestward and the pressure gradient over the open waters also weakens, winds and seas should diminish across the remainder of the waters by Tue and remain that way through at least Fri night. No significant long- period swell from the Southern Hemisphere is anticipated over the next several days. No new tropical cyclone activity is anticipated through the next several days. $$ Ramos