000 AXPZ20 KNHC 290350 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Tue Jun 29 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from 03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0330 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURE... Tropical Storm Enrique is centered near 21.1N 107.4W at 29/0300 UTC moving NW at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 992 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 19N to 21N between 106W and 109W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is from 21N to 24N E of 108W. Seas peak at 23 ft near the center with 12 ft seas extending out as far as 90 NM SE from the center. On the forecast track, the center of Enrique is expected to move near or over portions of the southern Baja California Peninsula Tuesday night or Wednesday. Additional weakening is forecast over the next couple of days. Please read the latest NHC Public Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPEP5.shtml and Forecast/ Advisory at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMEP5.shtml for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 09N91W to 05N96W to 06N106W. It resumes southwest of Enrique near 14N111W to 09N124W to 07N134W. ITCZ continues from 07N134W to 07N140W. Scattered moderate convection is from 03N to 09N between 90W and 106W, and from 10N to 16N between 100W and 117W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Please see the section above for details on Tropical Storm Enrique. Elsewhere, a surface ridge extends west of Baja California to a 1024 mb high near 34N143W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a surface trough over the Gulf of California is supporting gentle to moderate NW winds west of the Baja California peninsula. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are 3-5 ft in S Gulf of California, 3 ft or less over central and N Gulf of California, and in the 5-7 ft range elsewhere except in the vicinity of Enrique. Tropical Storm Enrique near 20.7N 107.3W 982 mb at 2 PM PDT moving NW at 5 kt. Maximum sustained winds 60 kt gusts 75 kt. Enrique should move to 21.4N 107.8W Tue morning, 22.1N 108.5W Tue afternoon, 22.8N 109.4W Wed morning, move inland over Baja California Sur and weaken to a tropical depression Wed afternoon, remain over land Thu, and dissipate Fri. Elsewhere high pressure will prevail west of Baja California and quiescent conditions are expected through at least Fri. No significant long-period swell from the Southern Hemisphere is anticipated over the next several days. Seas will increase over the Gulf of California as Enrique reaches the entrance to the Gulf on Tue. Elsewhere, except in the vicinity of Enrique, seas will remain 5-7 ft. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... A weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle variable winds north of 04N and gentle to moderate S flow over the Ecuador and Galapagos Islands offshore waters through Sat night. No significant long-period swell from the Southern Hemisphere is anticipated over the next several days. Seas will be generally 5-7 ft except 3-5 ft in the Gulf of Panama. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A surface ridge extends west of Baja California to a 1024 mb high near 34N143W. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures of the ITCZ are contributing toward gentle to fresh N to NE winds north of 10N and west of 120W. South of Enrique, moderate to fresh W to SW winds are occurring down to 08N between 103W and 120W. Seas 8 ft or greater in association with Enrique are north of 12N between 102W and 110W. Elsewhere seas are 5-7 ft. As Enrique weakens while it moves northwestward and the pressure gradient over the open waters also weakens, winds and seas should diminish across the remainder of the waters by Tue and remain that way through at least Fri night. No significant long- period swell from the Southern Hemisphere is anticipated over the next several days. No new tropical cyclone activity is anticipated through the next several days. $$ Ramos