000
AXPZ20 KNHC 050327
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed May 5 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
03.4S to 30N, east of 120W including the Gulf of California, and
from the Equator to 30N, between 120W and 140W. The following
information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations,
radar, and meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The monsoon trough extends from 08N78W to 08N85W to 12N95W to
07N125W. The ITCZ continues from 07N125W to 04N140W. Scattered 
moderate to isolated strong convection is from 08N to 10N 
between 90W and 95W. Scattered moderate convection is evident
from 06N to 09N between 100W to 107W. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Weak ridging north of 20N is maintaining gentle to moderate NW
winds off Baja California. Seas are 5 to 7 ft in NW swell. Light
breezes and near flat seas are noted in the Gulf of California.
Farther south, gentle to moderate westerly winds persist with 4
to 6 ft seas off southern Mexico. Smokey conditions are possible
over the near shore waters off Guerrero and Michoacan. 

For the forecast, the gentle to moderate westerly winds will 
persist through mid week off southern Mexico. Fresh to strong gap
winds are possible Fri in the Gulf of Tehuantepec as low 
pressure develops farther south, then tracks to the NW well off 
the coast of southern Mexico. Farther north, weak ridging will 
support gentle to moderate NW winds and subsiding NW swell 
through mid week. Expect moderate NW winds along with more NW 
swell off Baja California by the end of week related to a trough 
moving into the region. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle winds prevail across most the region. Seas are 
generally 4 to 6 ft in lingering southerly swell.

For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE to E winds across the 
Gulf of Papagayo region are expected Fri through Sun. Elsewhere, 
light to gentle breezes will continue for the next several days 
over the Central American and Equatorial Pacific offshore zones. 
Likewise, no significant long-period swell out of the Southern 
Hemisphere is anticipated into Sun. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Moderate N winds and 7 to 8 ft seas in lingering NW swell north 
of 25N between 120W and 130W. Elsewhere a weak subtropical ridge 
north of 20N is maintaining light to gentle breezes north of the
ITCZ/monsoon trough, except for moderate trade winds west of 
130W. Moderate southerly winds are noted south of the ITCZ/monsoon
trough.  Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft elsewhere.

For the forecast, the area of 7 to 8 ft swell will subside
through Wed night. Winds will increase along with additional 
swell across the waters north of 25N starting Fri, accompanying a
weak cold front that dissipates as it moves eastward across the
region. 
 
$$
Christensen