000 AXPZ20 KNHC 250202 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Sat Apr 24 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0240 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 08N85W to 08N115W. The ITCZ continues from 08N115W to 05N130W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 06N to 12N between 100W and 115W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A ridge of high pressure prevails west of the Baja California peninsula. The pressure gradient between this ridge and low pressure over Mexico is supporting moderate to fresh winds west of the Baja California peninsula. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range over the open waters off Mexico, and 1-3 ft over the Gulf of California. Areas of smoke from agricultural and forest fires are evident along the coast between Huatulco and Zihuatanejo. For the forecast, fresh to strong SW to W gap winds will pulse into the northern Gulf of California Sun night, ahead of a trough moving through the region. High pressure will build west of the region in the wake of the trough, supporting fresh winds off Baja California by mid week. Farther south, southerly swell impacting the waters south of 20N will subside through late Sun. Another group of southerly swell will arrive by mid week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Gentle to moderate winds prevail over and downstream of the Gulf of Papagayo. Light to gentle winds persist elsewhere. Seas are in the 5-6 ft range. For the forecast, light to gentle winds will persist through Sun, with subsiding southerly swell. Fresh to strong gap winds will pulse mainly overnight across the Gulf of Papagayo Mon and Tue. Additional southerly swell will move into the region by mid week. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... The pressure gradient between a high pressure ridge over the northern waters and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ supports a large area of moderate to locally fresh trade winds north of the ITCZ to 20N west of 125W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft across this region. The ridging over the northern waters will weaken as a dying cold front moves across the waters north of 25N into Mon. This will allow the areal coverage of moderate to fresh trade winds to diminish into early next week. $$ AL