000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120853
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Apr 12 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0745 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 10N75W to 06N92W to 07N100W. The 
ITCZ continues from 07N101W to 06N115W to 04N128W to beyond 
04N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted 
from 04N TO 06.5N between 115W and 128W, and from 01.5N to 08N 
between 128W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge of high pressure prevails west of the Baja California,
and extends southeast to offshore of Cabo Corrientes along 112W.
The pressure gradient between the ridge and a trough over Mexico
is supporting fresh northerly winds off of Baja California Norte,
and moderate winds off Baja California Sur. Light to gentle 
westerly winds prevail elsewhere across the offshore waters. Seas
are in the 5-9 ft range west of Baja California, 3-5 ft over the
remainder of the open waters off Mexico, and 1-3 ft over the 
Gulf of California. 

Moderate to fresh NW winds will prevail west of Baja California 
Norte through Tue as the ridge persists. Increased NW swell off 
Baja California Norte will prevail into Wed, peaking at 7-11 ft 
Mon morning, highest across the outer waters. Gentle to moderate 
winds are expected elsewhere into Wed. Winds and seas are 
expected to diminish slightly areawide Wed through Fri as the 
high pressure weakens.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle mostly onshore winds prevail across the forecast
area, with seas in the 3-5 ft range. Little change in wind and 
wave conditions are expected into Tue, before moderate offshore 
gap winds begin across the Papagayo region. Moderate sized SW
swell crossing the equator tonight will move through the 
offshore waters Mon night through Thu to raise seas slightly.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Deep layered low pressure persists W of the NW waters between
145W and 150W. This is producing moderate SE winds and seas of 6
to 7 ft across the far NW waters from 27N to 30N. High pressure 
extends southward across the northern waters between 118W and
140W. This is producing a modest pressure gradient over the 
forecast waters south of the ridge. Moderate winds and seas of 
5-7 ft prevail there. Little significant change is expected the 
next couple of days. High pressure will weaken and shift into 
the northern waters Wed through Thu, and slightly strengthen 
trade winds north of the ITCZ. Northerly swell will propagate 
south of 30N across the waters between 118W and 130W through Wed.
Seas over this area will build to around 9-11 ft early this
morning then gradually diminish to 5-8 ft by late Tue.

$$
Stripling