000
AXPZ20 KNHC 101953
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sat Apr 10 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1945 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N77W to 06N98W. The ITCZ 
continues from 06N98W to 05N122W to 03N140W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 80W and 89W and
from 06N to 08N between 109W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge of high pressure prevails west of the Baja California,
and extends southeast to offshore of Cabo Corrientes along 110W.
The pressure gradient between the ridge and a trough over Mexico
is supporting fresh northerly winds off of Baja California to 
the north of Cabo San Lazaro, and moderate winds off Baja 
California Sur. Light to gentle westerly winds prevail elsewhere 
across the offshore waters. Seas are in the 6-9 ft range west of
Baja California, 3-5 ft over the remainder of the open waters 
off Mexico, and 1-3 ft over the Gulf of California. 

Fresh NW winds will prevail west of Baja California Norte into
Sun night as the ridge persists, with some locally strong winds 
possible. Increased NW swell off Baja California Norte will 
prevail into Tue night, peaking at 7-10 ft tonight. Gentle to 
moderate winds are expected elsewhere into Tue night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Light to gentle mostly onshore winds prevail across the forecast
area. Seas remain in the 3-5 ft range. Little change in wind and
wave conditions are expected into Tue night. However, numerous 
showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue N of 04N and E
of 90W into this evening.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weak surface trough associated with a deep area of low 
pressure located just W of the NW waters, extends nearly N to S 
along 140W. Scattered moderate convection is seen along and east
of this trough from 24N to 30N between 136W and 140W. High 
pressure prevails across the northern waters east of this trough.
There is a modest pressure gradient over the forecast waters 
south of the ridge. Moderate to locally fresh winds prevail north
of the ITCZ to near 15N and west of 120W. Seas over this area 
are in the 5-7 ft range. Moderate winds and seas of 4-6 ft 
prevail elsewhere west of 120W. Little significant change is 
expected the next couple of days. High pressure will build 
over the northern waters through Mon, and slightly strengthen 
trade winds north of the ITCZ. Northerly swell will propagate 
south of 30N across the waters east of 125W into the start of
next week. Seas over this area will build to around 9-11 ft 
tonight and Sun.

$$
KONARIK