000 AXPZ20 KNHC 092034 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Fri Apr 9 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2030 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 08N81W to 07N88W to 08N97W. The ITCZ continues from 08N98W to 06N122W to beyond 03N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 80W and 105W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 07N between 120W and 132W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A ridge of high pressure prevails west of the Baja California, and extends southeast to well offshore of Cabo Corrientes. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a trough over Mexico is supporting fresh to locally strong northerly winds off of Baja California Norte and gentle to moderate winds off Baja California Sur. Light to gentle westerly winds prevail elsewhere across the offshore waters. Seas are in the 5-7 ft range west of Baja California, 3-5 ft over the remainder of the open waters off Mexico, and 1-3 ft over the Gulf of California. Fresh to strong NW winds will prevail west of Baja California Norte through Sun as the ridge persists. NW swell will increase seas off Baja California Norte through Tue, peaking at 7-10 ft Sat night. Gentle to moderate winds are expected elsewhere through Tue. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Light to gentle mostly onshore winds prevail across the forecast area. Seas are in the 3-5 ft range. Little change in wind and wave conditions are expected through Tue. However, numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected to continue N of 03N and E of 98W through tonight. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A surface trough associated with a deep area of low pressure is noted just W of the NW waters. Scattered moderate convection is seen along this trough N of 25N and W of 133W. High pressure prevails across the northern waters east of this trough. There is a modest pressure gradient over the forecast waters south of the ridge. Moderate to locally fresh winds prevail north of the ITCZ to near 15N and west of 118W. Seas over this area are in the 6-8 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds and seas in the 4-5 ft range prevail north of 20N. Light to gentle winds and seas of 4-6 ft prevail elsewhere. Little significant change is expected the next couple of days. A weak pressure gradient will continue through Sat with gentle to moderate trade winds expected. High pressure will build modestly over the northern waters Sat through Mon, and slightly strengthen trade winds north of the ITCZ. Northerly swell will propagate south of 30N east of 125W by tonight. Seas over this area will build to around 9-11 ft Sat night and Sun. $$ KONARIK