000 AXPZ20 KNHC 051541 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Mon Apr 5 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1520 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from the coast of Costa Rica near 10N85W to 05N94W. The ITCZ begins near 05N98W to 03N124W to 03N140W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 01N to 09N between 77W to 92W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 08N between 99W to 110W and from 02N to 08N between 120W to 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A nearly stationary ridge sits west of Baja California and lower pressure is currently over the SW CONUS. The pressure gradient from this pattern will continue to support fresh to locally strong NW winds over the Baja California Norte offshore waters. The strongest winds are expected within 120 nm off the coast mainly N of Punta Eugenia. These conditions are forecast to prevail through Fri. Moderate to locally fresh NW winds are expected over Baja California Sur offshores from Wed into the weekend. Seas over the Baja California adjacent waters will range between 5 to 7 ft, with the highest seas over the northern peninsula offshores. Light winds prevail across the Gulf of California. These winds will increase moderate to fresh briefly in the southern Gulf of California by Tue and diminish by Tue night. Light to gentle winds will continue to prevail the rest of the week. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds are expected to continue through Fri with seas to 6 ft in mixed southwest and northwest swell. In the Gulf of Tehuantepec, strong northerly winds continue across the region with seas up to 10 ft. These winds are expected to diminish by Tue early afternoon and seas to subside. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail through the rest of the week with 3-4 ft seas. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Strong east-northeast winds in the Gulf of Papagayo region will continue through tonight with seas to 7 ft. Moderate to fresh winds will then continue to pulse Tue night and end by Wed morning. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail the rest of the week. Light to gentle winds and 4 to 7 ft seas are expected across the rest of the region. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... Surface ridging dominates the open forecast waters N of 17N W of 116W. Over the far NW forecast waters, moderate to fresh NW to W winds with seas to 11 ft are near a cold front west of 140W. The front will continue to weaken today before dissipating tonight. NW swell associated with the front will continue to support seas to 9 ft over the far NW waters through Tue before subsiding by Tue afternoon. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the ridge to the north and the ITCZ will continue to support moderate to fresh trades from 05N to 20N W of 120W through tonight. Seas in this region will build to 8 ft in mixed SW and NW swell. Quiescent conditions can be expected from Tue through the rest of the week across this area. $$ AReinhart