000
AXPZ20 KNHC 150719
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Mar 15 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0715 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

The ITCZ extends from 06N89W to 02N114W to beyond 04N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 08N between 
91W and 110W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate to fresh NW winds prevail west of Baja California.
Gentle winds are occurring over the northern Gulf of California,
with fresh winds over the southern Gulf of California, extending
to Cabo Corrientes. Gentle winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are 5
to 7 ft to the west of Baja California and over the southern 
Gulf of California extending south to Cabo Corrientes, with 3 to 
6 ft seas elsewhere.

Moderate to fresh winds will gradually diminish to gentle to
moderate all areas today. A weakening cold front will cross Baja
California tonight into Tue. In the wake of this front, winds 
will strengthen to strong in the northern Gulf of California 
overnight into early Tue.

Looking ahead, gale force gap winds are likely to develop in the
Gulf of Tehuantepec Fri night.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh NE to E winds are noted within and downstream of the 
Papagayo region and Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds 
prevail elsewhere. Sea heights are in the 5-7 ft range over and 
downwind of both the Gulf of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama. Seas 
are generally 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. Fresh to strong NE winds will 
continue to pulse across the Papagayo region into Tue night, 
with highest winds expected during the overnight hours. Seas 
associated with these winds will be 6 to 8 ft. Fresh north winds 
in the Gulf of Panama will pulse at night through Tue, with seas
in the 5-7 ft range. Light to gentle winds, with seas in the 3 
to 6 ft range, will prevail elsewhere through mid week.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure of 1027 mb is centered near 27N127W. The pressure 
gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in
the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh winds 
north of the ITCZ to near 20N and west of 110W. Seas in this area
are in the 8-10 ft range. A cold front extends from 30N128W to 
26N140W. Strong northeasterly winds are noted west of the front.
The front will shift across the waters north of 25N through Tue 
while weakening. The front has ushered in a new set of large NW 
swell into the area, with seas peaking near 13 ft over the far 
NW waters. This swell will move through the northern waters into 
Tue night while slowly subsiding subside. Another cold front 
will enter the NW waters Wed. This front will usher in another 
set of NW swell into the NW waters, peaking near 13 ft on Thu.

$$
KONARIK