000 AXPZ20 KNHC 150213 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 0405 UTC Mon Mar 15 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0200 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The ITCZ extends from 06N90W to 03N113W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N between 94W and 112W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Moderate NW winds prevail west of Baja California Norte while moderate to fresh winds are noted west of Baja California Sur. Gentle winds are noted over the northern Gulf of California, with fresh to strong winds over the southern part of the Gulf of California. Gentle winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 6 west of Baja California Norte and 6 to 8 ft west of Baja California Sur. South of Baja California Sur to Cabo Corrientes, seas are 8-10 ft. Over the northern Gulf of California, seas are 2 ft or less, with seas in the 5 to 8 ft range over the southern Gulf of California. Seas are in the 4 to 6 ft range elsewhere. Winds in the southern half of the Gulf of California will continue in the fresh to strong range through tonight. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere over the offshore waters west of southern Mexico. A weakening cold front will cross Baja California Mon night into Tue. In the wake of this front, winds will strengthen to strong in the northern Gulf of California. Looking ahead, gale force gap winds are likely to develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Fri night. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh NE to E winds are noted within and downstream of the Papagayo region and Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Sea heights are in the 5-7 ft range over and downwind of both the Gulf of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama. Seas are generally 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. Fresh to strong NE winds will continue to pulse across the Papagayo region through Tue, with highest winds expected during the overnight hours. Seas associated with these winds will be 6 to 8 ft. Fresh north winds in the Gulf of Panama will pulse at night into Tue, with seas in the 5-7 ft range. Light to gentle winds, with seas in the 3 to 6 ft range, will prevail elsewhere through mid week. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1027 mb is centered near 28N126W. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh winds north of the ITCZ to near 20N and west of 110W. Seas in this area are in the 8-10 ft range. A cold front extends from 30N130W to 26N140W. Strong northeasterly winds are noted west of the front with gentle to moderate southwesterly winds ahead of the front. The front will shift across the waters north of 25N through Tue before weakening. The front has ushered in a new set of large NW swell into the area, with seas peaking near 14 ft over the far NW waters. This swell will move through the northern waters into Tue night before starting to subside. Another cold front will enter the NW waters Wed. This front will usher in another set of NW swell into the NW waters, peaking near 13 ft on Thu. $$ KONARIK