000 AXPZ20 KNHC 142041 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Sun Mar 14 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2040 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The ITCZ extends from 06N90W to 02N103W to 05N120W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 89W and 107W, from 08N to 10N between 110W and 120W, and from 02N to 07N between 130W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate NW winds prevail west of Baja California Norte while moderate to fresh winds are noted west of Baja California Sur. Light to gentle winds are noted over the northern Gulf of California, with fresh to strong winds over the southern part of the Gulf of California. Mainly light to gentle winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 6 west of Baja California Norte and 6 to 8 ft west of Baja California Sur. South of Baja California Sur to Cabo Correientes, seas are 8-10 ft. Over the northern Gulf of California, seas are 2 ft or less, with seas in the 5 to 8 ft range over the southern Gulf of California. Seas are in the 4 to 6 ft range elsewhere. Winds in the southern half of the Gulf of California will continue in the fresh to strong range through tonight. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere over the offshore waters west of southern Mexico. A weakening cold front will cross Baja California Mon into Tue. In the wake of this front, winds will strengthen in the northern Gulf of California. Looking ahead, gale force gap winds are forecast to develop in the Gulf of Tehuantepec later this week. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are noted within and downstream of the Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh winds are in and downstream of the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Sea heights are in the 5-7 ft range over and downwind of both the Gulf of Papagayo and Gulf of Panama. Seas are generally 4 to 6 ft elsewhere. Fresh to strong NE winds will continue to pulse across the Papagayo region into Tue, with highest winds expected during the overnight hours. Seas associated with these winds will be 6 to 8 ft. Fresh north winds in the Gulf of Panama will pulse at night into Tue, with seas in the 5-7 ft range. Light to gentle winds, with seas in the 3 to 6 ft range, will prevail elsewhere into mid week. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1029 mb is centered near 29N126W. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh winds north of the ITCZ to near 20N and west of 110W. Seas in this area are in the 8-10 ft range. A cold front extends from 30N133W to 26.5N140W. Fresh to strong northeasterly winds are noted west of the front with gentle to moderate southwesterly winds ahead of the front. The front will shift across the waters north of 25N through early this week before weakening. The front has ushered in a new set of large NW swell into the area, with seas peaking near 14 ft over the far NW waters. This swell will move through the northern waters through Tue before starting to subside. Another cold front will enter the NW waters midweek. This front will usher in another set of NW swell into the NW waters, peaking near 13 ft on Thursday. $$ AL