000
AXPZ20 KNHC 120732
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Fri Mar 12 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES... 

Heavy Rainfall potential in Western Colombia: Heavy rainfall is 
possible along and near the coast of Colombia at times, with 
enhanced precipitation possible through tonight. Mariners near 
the coast of Colombia are advised to be aware of the possibility 
of reduced visibility from heavy rain and strong thunderstorms. 
Please refer to forecasts and bulletins issued by your National 
Meteorological Service for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N77W to 03N92W. The ITCZ 
continues from 03N92W to 01N115W to beyond 03N140W. Scattered 
moderate convection is noted from 02N to 10N between 108W and 
120W and from 03N to 07N between 132W and 140W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Moderate NW winds prevail west of Baja California Norte with 
moderate to fresh winds off Baja California Sur. Moderate winds 
are noted over the Gulf of California, with mainly light to 
gentle winds elsewhere. Seas are 8 to 10 ft west of Baja 
California, 2 to 4 ft in the Gulf of California, and 4-6 ft 
elsewhere. NW swell west of Baja California will subside through 
Fri, with seas subsiding slightly to 7-8 ft.

A weakening cold front moving through the northern Gulf of
California will soon dissipate, allowing fresh W winds to
decrease in the area. Winds in the southern half of the Gulf of 
California will become fresh to strong Fri through Sun. Strong to
near gale-force winds are expected near Cabo Corrientes Sat 
night. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere over the 
offshore waters west of southern Mexico.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

See the Special Features section above regarding the potential
for heavy rainfall along and near the coast of Western Colombia.

Strong NE to E winds are noted in the Papagayo region. Moderate 
to fresh winds are in and downstream of the Gulf of Panama. Light
to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Sea heights are generally 3 
to 5 ft, except 6 to 8 ft downwind from the Gulf of Papagayo. 
Fresh to strong NE winds will continue to pulse across the 
Papagayo region into Mon, with highest winds expected at night. 
Seas associated with these winds will be 7 to 9 ft. Fresh north 
winds in the Gulf of Panama will pulse at night into Mon. Light 
to gentle winds, with seas in the 3 to 6 ft range, will prevail 
elsewhere through Mon.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

A weakening cold front extends from Baja California to 21N120W.
High pressure in the wake of the cold front will shift eastward 
through Fri night, and support fresh to strong trade winds over a
large portion of the forecast area, roughly from 09N to 24N west
of 124W, through early Sat. Seas in this area will remain in the
8-12 ft range. NW swell covers much of the waters N of 03N and W
of 110W. The swell will slowly subside the next few days. 
Another cold front will reach NW waters on Sat, and extend from 
32N130W to 25N140W Sun. Large NW swell associated with the front
will move through the northern waters Sat night through Mon. The
front will usher in another set of NW swell, which will peak 
near 13 ft over the NW waters Sun. 

$$
KONARIK