000 AXPZ20 KNHC 112044 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Thu Mar 11 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2040 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Heavy Rainfall potential in Western Colombia: Heavy rainfall is possible along and near the coast of Colombia at times, with enhanced precipitation possible through Fri. Mariners near the coast of Colombia are advised to be aware of the possibility of reduced visibility from heavy rain and strong thunderstorms. Please refer to forecasts and bulletins issued by your National Meteorological Service for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... A surface trough extends from 07N77W to 01N96W. The ITCZ continues from 01N96W to 00N104W to 01N126W to 03N140W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N between 108W and 120W, and from 03N to 07N between 130W and 140W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gentle to moderate NW winds prevail west of Baja California Norte with moderate to fresh winds off Baja California Sur. Gentle to moderate winds are noted over the Gulf of California, with mainly light to gentle winds elsewhere. Seas are 8 to 10 ft west of Baja California, 2 to 4 ft in the Gulf of California, and 4-6 ft elsewhere. NW swell west of Baja California will subside through Fri, with seas subsiding slightly to 7-8 ft, except in the area of fresh to strong winds. A cold front has reached Baja California Norte. Winds in the northern Gulf of California will shift to SW-W while increasing tonight. Highest winds will be near gaps in the coastal terrain, where fresh to strong winds are possible. Winds in the southern half of the Gulf of California will become fresh to strong Fri through Sun. Strong to near gale-force winds are expected near Cabo Corrientes Sat night. Gentle to moderate winds will prevail elsewhere over the offshore waters west of southern Mexico. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... See the Special Features section above regarding the potential for heavy rainfall along and near the coast of Western Colombia. Fresh to strong NE to E winds are noted in the Papagayo region. Moderate to fresh winds are in and downstream of the Gulf of Panama. Light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Sea heights are generally 3 to 5 ft, except 6 to 8 ft downwind from the Gulf of Papagayo. Fresh to strong NE winds will continue to pulse across the Papagayo region through the weekend, with highest winds expected at night. Seas associated with these winds will be 7 to 9 ft. Fresh north winds in the Gulf of Panama will pulse at night through the weekend. Light to gentle winds, with seas in the 3 to 6 ft range, will prevail elsewhere through Mon. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A cold front extends from Baja California Norte to 24N123W to 23N135W. The cold front will start to weaken and dissipate by Fri. High pressure in the wake of the cold front will shift eastward through Fri night, and support fresh to strong trade winds over a large portion of the forecast area, roughly from 09N to 24N west of 124W, through early Sat. Seas in this area will remain in the 8-12 ft range. NW swell covers much of the waters N of 03N and W of 110W. The swell will slowly subside the next few days. Another cold front will reach NW waters on Sat, and extend from 32N125W to 26N140W Sun. Large NW swell associated with the front will move through the northern waters Sat night through Mon. The front will usher in another set of NW swell, which will peak near 13 ft over the NW waters Sun night. $$ AL