000
AXPZ20 KNHC 061606
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sat Mar 6 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1520 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES... 

Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: Strong high pressure building 
in the wake of a cold front moving across the Gulf of Mexico 
today is supporting a gap wind event. Strong winds will rapidly
increase to gale force by early this evening, and persist 
through early on Wed. Winds are expected to peak around 45 kt, 
with maximum seas building to 16-17 ft. Please read the latest 
NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N88W to 05N96W to 04N101W. The 
ITCZ continues from 04N101W to 04N120W to 02N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is from 01N to 06N W of 95W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

See the Special Features section above about a Gale Warning for 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec region.

Moderate to fresh NW winds prevail west of the Baja California 
peninsula, except for pulses of fresh to strong winds N of Punta 
Eugenia, which are forecast to continue through Sun morning. Large
long-period NW swell is along the Baja California offshore waters
supporting seas in the 8-12 ft range with the highest seas
currently N of Punta Eugenia.  

A second NW swell event is expected on Tue. Moderate to fresh 
NW-N winds are expected across the offshore waters west of Baja 
California during the next several days. Gentle to moderate winds
are expected in the Gulf of California, and the offshore waters 
west of southern Mexico, except in the vicinity of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Fresh to strong NE to E winds will continue across the Papagayo 
region through next week. Winds will increase to near 25 to 30 
kt tonight, with seas building to 8-11 ft through next week as 
strong high pressure builds over the western Caribbean Sea. Fresh
to locally strong northerly winds are forecast in the Gulf of 
Panama through Wed, with downwind seas building to 7-8 ft. Light
to gentle winds with seas in the 3-5 ft range will prevail 
elsewhere through the weekend.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Surface high pressure anchored NW of the area extends a ridge
S-SE to 116W and N of 15N. This is supporting locally strong
winds between the ITCZ and 15N W of 120W. Seas are 8-13 ft over 
the NW waters, and a continuation of NW swell for several days 
will keep seas fairly high through the weekend over much of the 
area, highest over the NW waters. These conditions are forecast
to continue through early next week.
 
$$
Ramos