000
AXPZ20 KNHC 240340
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Wed Feb 24 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURES...

Gulf of California Gale Warning: Strong high pressure across the
Great Basin region Wed and Wed night will build southward into 
NW Mexico and the Gulf of California. Strong northerly winds are
expected to blast quickly into northern portions of the Gulf of 
California early Thu morning and gradually spread southward into 
central portions of the Gulf. Northerly winds will briefly reach
gale force north of 30N Thu morning. Seas will quickly build to
6-9 ft as the wind surge spreads southward across the Gulf. 

For more specific information on these expected conditions please
read the latest NWS high seas forecast issued at the National 
Hurricane Center at website: 
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N78W to 04N95W. The ITCZ 
continues from 04N95W to 06N114W to 03N119W to beyond 04N140W. 
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 
104W and 115W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Please see above for more information on a developing brief Gulf
of California gale event.

Scatterometer data shows mostly gentle to moderate northerly 
winds west of Baja California, and seas are estimated to be in 
the 5-6 ft range. Strong northerly winds across the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec will continue overnight. Strong northwest winds to 
near gale force will blast across the northern Gulf of California
early Thu, and spread southward. Large northerly swell will 
dominate the waters west of Baja California Norte through the 
weekend.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

Scatterometer data shows fresh winds across and downwind of the 
Gulf of Papagayo, where seas are estimated to be 7-8 ft. Moderate
to fresh winds are presumed to be occurring downwind of the Gulf
of Panama, with light to gentle winds prevailing elsewhere. Seas
are 6-7 ft downwind of the Gulf of Panama, and 5-6 ft elsewhere.
Offshore gap winds will pulse to strong across the Gulf of 
Papagayo region each night through the weekend. Fresh northerly 
winds will pulse to strong across the Gulf of Panama through Wed 
night. Light to gentle winds will prevail elsewhere.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Strong high pressure well north of the forecast area extends a
ridge southward into the subtropics. The pressure gradient south
of the high pressure and lower pressures in the vicinity of the 
ITCZ is supporting fresh to locally strong trades north of the 
ITCZ west of 130W. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere,
except downwind of the Gulfs of Tehuantepec and Papagayo, from
roughly 07N to 13N between 95W and 110W, where winds are fresh to
strong. Large northerly swell will sweep south of 30N into the
northern waters this weekend, with seas building to 15-17 ft
between 120W and 130W.

$$
Mundell