000
AXPZ20 KNHC 081557
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Mon Feb 8 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1520 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
The ITCZ extends from 04N102W to beyond 04N140W. Scattered 
moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 00N to 05N E of
84.5W to coast of Colombia. Widely scattered moderate convection
is noted within 90 nm N of the ITCZ between 115W and 135W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A weak ridge dominates the offshore forecast waters of Baja 
California and is producing gentle northerly winds and wave 
heights generally in the 4-6 ft range. Gentle to moderate winds
and seas of 7 ft or less are expected across the offshore waters
through the week. Fresh gap winds in the Gulf of Tehuantepec 
region will diminish today and become light and this evening as 
high pressure over the Gulf of Mexico shifts eastward and 
weakens. Wave heights are expected to remain below 8 ft 
throughout the week. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds are 
expected through the next few days, with no significant swell 
events expected.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A weak pressure pattern prevails across the Pacific region south
of Central America. Light to gentle winds and wave heights of 
3-5 ft due to south to southwest swell prevail across this area.
Strong trade winds across the central and SW Caribbean will 
support fresh to strong offshore winds across the Gulf of 
Papagayo at night and into to morning hours through Wed. Fresh 
north winds over the Gulf of Panama will change little well
throughout the week. Light to gentle winds are expected 
elsewhere during the period, with no significant swell events 
expected.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure well to the north of the forecast area extends a 
ridge southeastward deep into the tropics south of 20N and west 
of 110W. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds are generally 
noted north of the ITCZ to about 20N and west of 115W. Wave 
heights within this area of winds are in the 6-9 ft range due to
northwest swell. These wave heights will subside through Tue as
teh area of seas 8 ft and greater migrates to west of 140W. 
Otherwise, rather benign marine conditions are expected to 
continue across the rest of the discussion area through the 
forecast period. By Wed morning, winds will become fresh from the
south over the far northwest waters ahead of a cold front that 
is expected to approach those waters. The front may move over 
some sections of the far northwest waters Wed through Thu. It is 
expected to usher in new northwest swell through most of Thu.

$$
Stripling