000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080932
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1005 UTC Mon Feb 8 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0915 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 06N77W to 04N86W to 04N97W, where 
overnight scatterometer data indicates that it transitions to 
the ITCZ to 05N110W to 04N123W and to beyond 05N140W. No 
significant convection is noted.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge dominates the offshore forecast waters of Baja California
producing gentle to moderate northerly winds and wave heights 
generally in the 4-6 ft range. These marine conditions will 
persist over the next several days. Fresh to strong gap winds in 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec region will become light and variable Mon
afternoon tonight into early Mon morning as high pressure over 
the Gulf of Mexico shifts eastward and weakens. Wave heights will
remain below 8 ft well into the week. Elsewhere, gentle to 
moderate winds are expected through the next few days, with no
significant swell event expected.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A weak pressure pattern prevails across the Pacific region south
of Central America. Light to gentle winds and wave heights of 
3-5 ft due to a southwest swell component are over this area.
Strong trade winds across the central and SW Caribbean will 
support fresh to strong offshore winds across the Gulf of 
Papagayo at night and into to morning hours through Wed. Fresh 
north winds over the Gulf of Panama will change little well
into the week. Light to gentle winds are expected elsewhere 
during the period, with no significant swell event expected.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure well to the north of the forecast area extends a 
ridge southeastward deep into the tropics south of 20N and west 
of 110W. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds are generally 
noted north of the ITCZ to about 15N and west of 126W based on 
latest available scatterometer data. Wave heights within this 
area of winds are in the 8-10 ft range due to a northwest swell.
These wave heights will subside through Tue as the swell group
migrates to west of 140W. Otherwise, rather benign marine 
conditions are expected to continue across the rest of the 
discussion area through the forecast period. By Wed morning, 
winds become southerly at mainly fresh speeds over the far
northwest waters ahead of a cold front that is expected to 
approach these waters. The front may move over some sections of 
the far northwest waters Wed through Thu. It is expected to usher
in a set of northwest swell through most of Thu.

$$
Aguirre