000
AXPZ20 KNHC 080344
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Mon Feb 08 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 06N77W to 04N86W to 04N97W, where 
latest scatterometer data indicates that it transitions to the 
ITCZ to 05N110W to 04N123W to beyond the area at 05N140W. No 
significant convection is noted.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge dominates the offshore forecast waters of Baja California
producing gentle to moderate northerly winds and wave heights 
generally in the 4-6 ft range. These marine conditions will 
persist over the next several days. Fresh to strong gap winds in 
the Gulf of Tehuantepec region will become light and variable Mon
afternoon tonight into early Mon morning as high pressure over 
the Gulf of Mexico shifts eastward and weakens. Wave heights will
remain below 8 ft well into the week. Elsewhere, gentle to 
moderate winds are expected through the next few days.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A weak pressure pattern prevails across the Pacific region south
of Central America. Light to gentle winds and wave heights of 
3-5 ft due to a southwest swell component are over this area.
Strong trade winds across the central and SW Caribbean will 
support fresh to strong offshore winds across the Gulf of 
Papagayo through Tue morning, and then pulse back up to fresh 
to strong speeds late at night on Tue and Wed. Fresh north winds
over the Gulf of Panama will change little through early Wed. 
Light to gentle winds are expected elsewhere during the period.

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

High pressure well to the north of the forecast area extends a 
ridge southeastward deep into the tropics south of 20N and west 
of 110W. Moderate to locally fresh trades are noted N of the ITCZ
to about 15N and W of 125W based on latest scatterometer data. 
Wave heights within this area of winds are in the 8-10 ft range 
in NW swell. These wave heights will slowly subside over the next
couple of days. Otherwise, rather benign marine conditions are 
expected to continue across the rest of the discussion area 
through the forecast period. By Wed morning, expected increasing
winds and building seas near 30N140W ahead of a cold front 
that is expected to approach the far northwest corner of the 
discussion area. The front may move over the far northwest waters
on Wed.

$$
Aguirre