000
AXPZ20 KNHC 071519
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1605 UTC Sun Feb 7 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 05N82W to 04N93W. The ITCZ continues
from 04N93W to 04N110W to 04N120W to 05N140W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is from 03N to 06N E of 78W to the
coast of Colombia. Similar convection is near 03N82.5W, and within
75 nm n of the ITCZ between 134W and 137W.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

A ridge dominates the offshore waters of Baja California producing
gentle to moderate northerly winds and seas generally in the 4-6
ft range. These marine conditions will persist over the next
several days. Fresh to strong gap winds are expected in the Gulf
of Tehuantepec today and tonight as high pressure builds across 
the western Gulf of Mexico in the wake of a cold front.Seas will
remain below 8 ft. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds are expected
through late in the week.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A weak pressure pattern prevails across the Pacific region south
of Central America. Light to gentle winds and seas of 3-5 ft
dominate this area. High pressure over the northwest Caribbean 
Sea will maintain fresh to occasionally strong offshore winds 
across the Gulf of Papagayo tonight through early Tue, then 
mainly fresh winds through Thu night. Fresh north winds through 
the Gulf of Panama will begin tonight and continue through early 
on Wed, then diminish to moderate speeds through Thu night. Light
to gentle winds are expected elsewhere during the period. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

Northwest swell is resulting in wave heights of 6-8 ft over the 
northern waters north of 27N between 120W-127W. This swell will 
decay through this afternoon allowing for these wave heights to 
lower to less than 8 ft.

High pressure well to the north of the forecast area extends a 
ridge southeastward deep into the tropics south of 20N and west 
of 110W. A small area of fresh to strong trades is noted between
the ridge and the ITCZ, particularly from 06N to 10N W of 132W.
Wave heights within this area of winds are in the 8-10 ft range
in NW swell. These wave heights will slowly subside over the next
couple of days. Otherwise, rather benign marine conditions are 
expected to continue across the rest of the discussion area 
through the forecast period.

$$
GR