000
AXPZ20 KNHC 062100
TWDEP

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
2205 UTC Sat Feb 6 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 09N85W to 04N96W. The ITCZ extends
from 04N96W to beyond 05N140W. No significant convection is 
noted at this time. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Surface ridging prevails across the forecast waters west of Baja
California. Scatterometer data continues to depict gentle to 
moderate northerly winds west of Mexico, and altimeter passes 
indicate seas generally in the 4-6 ft range. Fresh to strong gap
winds are expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun through early 
Mon. Gentle to moderate winds are expected elsewhere through
mid-week.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A weak pressure pattern prevails across the Pacific region south
of Central America. Scatterometer data continues to depict light
to gentle winds in this area. Seas are generally 3-5 ft. High 
pressure in the NW Caribbean will maintain fresh to occasionally
strong offshore winds across the Gulfs of Papagayo and Panama 
Sun night through early Tue. Light to gentle winds are expected 
elsewhere through Wed. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

An area of 7 to 9 ft seas across the northern waters west of 
137W is expected to persist for the next few days as a low 
pressure system to develop in the Central Pacific between 140W 
and 150W, intensifies as it moves north of 30N.

High pressure well to the north of the forecast area extends a
ridge southeastward deep into the tropics south of 20N west of
Mexico. The high will retreat northward and weaken this weekend,
which will relax the pressure gradient north of the ITCZ. An 
active weather pattern west of 140W in the Central Pacific will 
maintain elevated seas, particularly west of 130W, for the next 
couple of days. Benign marine conditions are expected to persist
across rest of the discussion area through the forecast period.

$$
ERA