000
AXPZ20 KNHC 060313
TWDEP 

Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0405 UTC Sat Feb 6 2021

Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from
the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is
based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and
meteorological analysis.

Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.

...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...

A surface trough extends from 07N85W to 03N99W. The ITCZ extends
from 04N100W to 05N106W to 03N128W to 06N140W. No significant
convection is noted at this time.

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO...

Surface ridging prevails across the waters west of Baja 
California. Scatterometer data depicts gentle to moderate 
northerly winds west of Mexico, and altimeter passes indicate 
seas generally in the 4-7 ft range. NW winds in the central Gulf
of California will dimisnish overnight. Fresh to strong gap winds
are possible in the Gulf of Tehuantepec Sun through early Mon. 
Gentle to moderate winds are expected elsewhere through Wed. 

OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and 
WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR...

A weak pressure pattern prevails across the Pacific region south
of Central America. Scatterometer data continues to depict light
to gentle winds in this area. Seas are generally 4-6 ft. High 
pressure in the NW Caribbean will maintain fresh to occasionally
strong offshore winds across the Gulfs of Papagayo and Panama 
Sun night through early Tue. Light to gentle winds are expected 
elsewhere through Wed. 

REMAINDER OF THE AREA...

An area of 7 to 9 ft seas across the northern waters west of 
137W is expected to persist for another day or two, as a low 
pressure system. expected to develop in the Central Pacific
between 140W and 150W, intensifies as it moves north of 30N.

High pressure well to the north of the forecast area extends a
ridge southeastward deep into the tropics south of 20N west of
Mexico. The high will retreat northward and weaken this weekend,
which will relax the pressure gradient north of the ITCZ. An 
active weather pattern west of 140W in the Central Pacific will 
maintain elevated seas, particularly west of 130W, the next 
couple of days, but marine conditions are expected to moderate 
west of 125W by Sun. Benign marine conditions are expected to 
persist across rest of the discussion area through the forecast 
period.

$$
Mundell