000 AXPZ20 KNHC 141607 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1605 UTC Thu Jan 14 2021 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 1545 UTC. ...SPECIAL FEATURES... Gulf of Tehuantepec Gale Warning: A ridge extends across the Gulf of Mexico and the eastern slopes of the Sierra Madre Mountains in Mexico. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and the eastern north Pacific monsoon trough will continue to support gale force winds across the Tehuantepec region through early this afternoon with seas to 12 ft. Looking ahead, gale conditions are expected in the Gulf of Tehuantepec again beginning late Fri night into Sat, and continuing through Sat night. Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 06N77W to 06N100W to low pres near 06N115W to 06N119W. The ITCZ extends from 06N119W to 06N140W. Scattered moderate convection and tstms are from 07N to 14N between 104W and 118W, and from 05N to 11N west of 125W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... Gale force winds prevail across the Tehuantepec region. Please see Special Features section for more details. Elsewhere, mainly gentle to moderate NW to N winds are expected across the offshore waters of Baja California over the next several days as a ridge remains in place. NW swell continues to propagate through the waters west of the Baja California peninsula with seas in the 10-12 ft range reaching already Baja California Sur as indicated by a buoy earlier this morning. Seas 8 ft or greater will continue through Fri before briefly subsiding below 8 ft Fri night into early Sat. A new set of NW swell will enter the waters off Baja California Norte Sat. This swell will spread across the remainder of the offshore waters west of the Baja California peninsula, once again increasing seas to 8 ft or greater over these waters through Sun. A low pressure associated with a cold front will enter the Baja California Norte offshore waters with fresh to strong winds on Mon and building seas to 13 ft. Gulf of California: High pressure centered over the Great Basin region of United States is supporting fresh to locally strong NW winds across the northern and central parts of the Gulf of California. These winds will diminish Fri evening. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Winds will pulse to fresh to strong each night through the upcoming weekend. Outside of the gap winds areas, mainly light to gentle winds will prevail north of the monsoon trough while gentle to moderate S to SW winds are expected to the south. Large seas generated in the Tehuantepec region continue to impact the outer portion of the offshore waters of Guatemala and El Salvador. Seas over this area will be in the 8-10 ft range through tonight before subsiding below 8 ft early Fri. Another gale force gap wind event over the Tehuantepec region will once again generate large seas which will propagate into the offshore waters of Guatemala and El Salvador Sat through early Sun. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... High pressure of 1019 mb is centered N of the area. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds north of the ITCZ to 20N and W of 120W. Seas in this area are in the 8-12 ft range in a mix of NW swell and NE-E wind waves. Long period NW swell continues to propagate across the forecast region, with seas 8 ft or greater across much of the waters west of 100W. Another pulse of NW swell will enter the NW waters tonight. Seas with this swell will peak to 18-19 ft near 30N140W early Fri. These successive sets of NW swell will maintain seas greater than 8 ft over much of the forecast waters west of 100W through the end of the week. $$ Ramos