000 AXPZ20 KNHC 282042 TWDEP Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 2205 UTC Sat Nov 28 2020 Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean from the Equator to 32N, east of 140W. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar, and meteorological analysis. Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 2040 UTC. ...INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH... The monsoon trough extends from 09N85W to 07N102W to 10N120W to 09N124W. The ITCZ continues from 09N124W to 07N132W to beyond 09N140W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N between 80W and 83W, and within 60 nm of the monsoon trough between 87W and 107W. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF MEXICO... A broad ridge prevails west of Baja California, anchored by high pressure of 1025 mb centered near 38N139W. Fresh to strong NW winds in the Gulf of California are expected to continue through the weekend, with seas expected to build to 6-7 ft from these winds. Gentle to moderate northerly winds will prevail west of the Baja California peninsula, with stronger NE winds shooting through gaps between the higher elevations of Baja California, and extending up to 90 nm offshore. NW swell west of Baja California continues to subside. Seas are peaking greater than 8 ft are now confined to SW of Baja California Sur. These seas are expected to fall below 8 ft by early Sun. A strong cold front expected to move across the Gulf of Mexico this weekend will induce gale force winds across Tehuantepec beginning Mon afternoon. Winds are then expected to diminish below gale force on Tue. OFFSHORE WATERS WITHIN 250 NM OF CENTRAL AMERICA, COLOMBIA, and WITHIN 750 NM OF ECUADOR... Fresh NE to E winds will pulse each night in the Papagayo region. Moderate S to SW winds are expected elsewhere south of 10N. Moderate cross-equatorial swell in the waters west of Central America will subside Sun through Tue. REMAINDER OF THE AREA... A ridge extends across the waters west of Baja California to near the Revillagigedo Islands. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressure within the monsoon trough, and in the vicinity of the ITCZ, is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds north of 10N and west of 120W. Seas are generally 6-8 ft across this area. The large NW swell across the area continues to subside, and will slowly decay through the weekend. Another pulse of NW swell is forecast to reach 30N140W early Mon, with larger NW swell moving southeast into the area Thu. $$ AL